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I think his critical mistake was trying to out-Trump Trump. He will never be a better Trump than Trump. He had a chance to be a more moderate and "acceptable" version of Trump. But he went way too far to the right where even other Republicans are criticizing some of the Florida laws. Like for example banning AP Psychology or putting PragerU videos in the official curriculum.
The problem is stuff like "slaves benefited by learning skills under slavery" is simply too radical even for most Republicans
I think he assumed there was a much larger hard-core right population than there really is. Like sure, neonazis might vote for you but the average Trumper is not a neonazi. They're like halfway there but still believe slavery was bad, racism is bad, etc.
The media keeps giving a megaphone to the extreme who yell the loudest. There are fewer of those idiots than even the "wanna-be tRumpians" realize. They went all in on this train. Now it's off the rails and they're only just now realizing there aren't any conductors to stop it.