this post was submitted on 02 May 2024
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Perhaps my info on this was a little old, and seeing as my country might be one of the few to not have mass starvation in such a scenario, according to one of the studies I saw, I might have also been too optimistic about other countries' chances.
It seems nuclear winter could lead to an 8 degree maximum drop in temperature with a 4 degree drop after a decade and lasting a while. Perhaps. So, much worse than climate change at the current time.
Although I do still wonder about how close to reality the soot modeling is due to possible new materials and differences from countries, which might make a big difference on the actual result, either for better or worse.
Yeah, nuclear winter is going to be much worse than the global warming. The soot modelling is based on what we see happening after volcanic eruptions, so it's not going to be that far off. However, the fact that we don't know just how bad it gets underscores the risk for all humanity here. We are talking about billions of people dying as a result.