832
I say double it. (feddit.ch)
submitted 1 year ago by LemmyLaLibre@feddit.ch to c/memes@lemmy.ml
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

you have a 95% chance of never seeing it. Don’t pull the lever.

I'm confused: 0.99^32 = 0.72, not 0.95. And if you know that everyone except the last guy won't pull the lever, that's still a 1% chance of killing everyone on earth (average expected deaths: 70 million) is way worse than definitely killing one person!

(Edit: unless "don't pull the lever" means killing that one person, because it isn't clear which is the default "no action" outcome. In which case, never mind.)

(Edit 2: if you know the 34th and last person might be a sociopath, you're best off if the first 27 people might also be sociopaths.)

this post was submitted on 29 Jul 2023
832 points (97.4% liked)

Memes

45657 readers
1324 users here now

Rules:

  1. Be civil and nice.
  2. Try not to excessively repost, as a rule of thumb, wait at least 2 months to do it if you have to.

founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS