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Does this really matter? Are not the swing states the ones that actually decide the president?
Would likely hurt republican down ballot candidates as presumably a lot of trump voters that would have gone straight ticket will just skip the vote altogether.
Still would deny him Electoral College votes from those states. So yes, it counts.
I don't think NY splits electoral votes. To get any NY electoral votes, he'd have to carry the whole state.
Will this leave him off the ballot for the primary? He is expected to win the primary and this will pump the numbers for another GOP candidate. If enough states do this, it could give the convention the cover to select someone else.