this post was submitted on 29 Oct 2026
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Methane has a average atmospheric lifetime of 10-12 years according to wikipedia. So yes, over a long period, a stable herd will have a stable methane cloud I guess.
But
We aren't increasing production. Who cares what would happen if the thing that isn't happening happens
As in people who consume beef aren't increasing the production of beef? How so? Do you mean to say that supply and demand are unlinked?
Where's the peck of pickled peppers Peter Piper picked?
There is maybe one person eating only meat for every ten eating vegan, and people eating only meat don't eat more beef than what used to be normal before veganism appeared as a response to the climate crisis, we just eat a lot more fat
You need about as many cattle to feed us as you do to feed a turn of the 20th century person.
When you hear zero carbers talk of how much meat they eat they mean both the lean and the fat
Sure, nothing wrong with any of that.
But global demand for beef is rising, and therefore so is production. No matter how you shape your diet, each time you eat a piece of meat, you're part of increasing the pressure on our climate.
No judgement from me, I think that's completely my own and your own prerogative. But I think it's important we make the decision based on facts.
Global demand for beef isn't increasing in the English speaking world. It's probably the masses of China increasing beef intake
Luckily they also are world leaders in renewable energy
Anyway what I'm getting at is carnivore eaters don't eat more meat than a regular omnivore, we just deprive soap and candle makers of more fat
Sure. That also doesn't change the fact that no matter where in the world you are, no matter how much energy is produced renewably, each time you eat a piece of meat, you're part of increasing the pressure on our climate.
Once the planet has stopped heating catastrophically, there might be some budget of GHG that we can spend on producing and eating meat more or less sustainably. But until then, it's all part of increasing the pressure.
First of all, this point holds whether you eat meat once a year, or every day. It's not about more or less than the average, each piece of meat contributes.
Second, interesting point, I'd love to read more about the numbers going into that calculation if you can link them.
And just to make it clear: no judgement, these are just facts you need to make an informed decision.
ok, following this logic, let's turn off all electricity generation, air travel, shipping, etc... food is foundational to society and health, we can't deny the planet healthy food and expect to solve all our other problems.
https://www.aleph2020.org/
I agree. We should look at all sources of emission as try to reduce them, starting with those that have highest GHG impact with lowest societal value.
Agreed!
Thanks! I can't find the numbers you refer, could you link them directly? Is Aleph 2020 a pro meat production project?
Here, for your convenience, the text on the page about what ALEPH is. Did you not look too far downwards?
Yes, I did, though it is not clear to me whether the group is meant to be a neutral observer of food production (as implied by "interdisciplinary group of internationally recognized experts" and working based on "scientific foundations"), or an explicitly pro meat production lobby organisation as e.g. indicated through sentences like "Throughout (pre)history, animals (hunted or domesticated) and animal-sourced foods have always held [connotations of strength, vitality, fertility, and generosity]."
How would you describe them? And could you link the numbers you mentioned?
I'm not sure what you're trying to get at, since the description is clear. Perhaps you'd prefer to ascribe labels to them, such as "pro meat production lobby organization," instead?
Also, since I've not mentioned any numbers, I won't be able to link them.
Sorry, mistook you for Jet I guess. They linked the Alpeh 2020 site as a substantiation of this claim, but I can't find it on the website:
In terms of the description of Aleph 2020, I don't find it clear sorry. Digging in further, they write
So it's a scientific consortium with a website.
With a political element and connections to the World Farmers' Organisation?
With sections on policy and ethics?
And graphics about how mainstream reporting is a vegan tech conspiracy?
It's an interesting project, but I'm not sure how to understand it. It's not a neutral research effort like CERN, it's not a farmer lobby, it's not an activist organisation like Amnesty. I guess it's like a very long opinion piece? Or how would you classify it?
I think classification is useful in terms of how the text should be read - a text from Amnesty should be read differently from a text from CERN.
To what end, so we can game GWP-20 while ignoring the lion's share of GWP-100 from industry, all the while getting sicker and losing topsoil?
No need to ignore GWP-100 or GWP-20 or accept losing topsoil. We can reduce the carbon footprint from beef production and from other food production and work on sustainable and healthy diets for all.
We probably have to do all of them at the same time, in fact.
But I don't know how we best fight climate change. My point was just that eating less beef translates into a clear and significant reduction of pressure on the climate. What you do with that fact is up to you.
Unless I'm reading what you've said wrongly it's remarkable you think most GWP-100 is from food production.
I don't think most of GWP-100 is from food production. I think food production is a significant part of human GHG emissions. But I don't think it's the majority.
Ruminant meat is essential to human health, there are lots of sick people in the world (almost a billion t2ds) and the climate impact of maintaining sick people is quite high. Getting the sick people off carbs and onto meat would really help everyone, including the climate.
We need ruminants to make topsoil, you can't remove them and create top soil.
Sure - if we reduce the meat production to what is medically necessary and required for topsoil, I'm sure that would be a major reduction in livestock and climate pressure.
I am not saying get rid of all meat. I'm saying that each piece of meat you eat is increasing the pressure on the climate.
But what do you mean "essential"? What about the people that live long, healthy lives without it?