this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2026
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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of the Jazan refinery complex in southwestern Saudi Arabia, near the Yemeni border. The big squares depict large thermal signatures - i.e. giant fires caused by missile strikes.


My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.

preambleAs many predicted quite early on in this conflict, the US simply does not have the stockpiles nor production lines to maintain the firing rates we saw in March and April. There's at least five strictly military problems:

  1. Not enough interceptors to shoot down Iranian missiles, and many missiles get through regardless. This includes a dearth of interceptors in the Zionist entity proper.

  2. Not enough stand-off munitions to cause a real breakdown of Iran's military and society. There's enough left in the submarines and in whatever stockpiles they have mustered to give one last very serious barrage before they're just completely out (unless they start taking all their missiles out of the Pacific and Europe), but even if this is done, this shock and awe failed the first time around, and the missile cities have proven impregnable to Western military technology.

  3. Not enough penetration of Iranian airspace to allow a transition from stand-off bombs to their near-endless supply of glide/gravity bombs. On the edges of Iranian territory it can be possible, but doing so any further inside causes exponential risk to the bombers. Notably, Reaper drones can carry JDAMs, hence why they continue to be used so much despite how often they're getting shot down.

  4. Not enough naval power to reopen Hormuz. Otherwise, the US could hypothetically wait out Iran and exert economic and covert pressure to encourage political collapse; with Hormuz in Iran's hands, the US's delaying tactics favor Iran instead.

  5. Not enough functioning and safe bases from which to launch counterattacks. Due to debasification (a word that has now spread far and wide after Amerikanet's coining, lol), the US has been pushed back away from the Gulf. This dangerously overpopulates rear bases with planes and makes it so sortie rates are reduced due to how much distance you have to travel and how many refuelers you need per bomber.

No angry proclamations, media offensives, or tacky AI image posts can change this reality, and boy is Trump putting out a lot of that last one. This is why, after the two weeks of attacks we just saw, we see the US very reticent to try and escalate further, and Trump's threat over last weekend to really start bombing Iran did not occur. This is being reflected in the US media, with several worried articles talking about how there just aren't enough missiles to keep the conflict going much longer. One of the only options left is to use ground/special forces to do... something, though pretty much no matter what target he selects, it's hard to imagine it breaking Iran, or doing much to end the conflict, or even being a successful operation past the point where you've landed troops somewhere. We saw the "pilot rescue" (uranium heist) operation fail and aborted before the forces could even step foot off the runway they landed on.

It is into this environment that Ansarallah has suddenly declared a blockade of Saudi Arabia - an architect of the blockade of Yemen and one of the major causes of the country's internal divisions between Ansarallah and comprador groups - and is turning their ships around at the entrance to the Red Sea, thereby cutting off a good chunk of the Saudi's remaining oil exports. Ansarallah has proven they were not interested in some cautious, gradual climb up the escalation ladder; when the Saudis hit a couple Yemeni port facilities, they went ahead and hit Jazan and Yanbu so hard that the fires were still raging a day or two after the initial strikes. The US is apparently asking for the MoU back, and this time with Ansarallah also placated, but it appears Iran is much less interested in the MoU now after it was thoroughly violated by the US the first time - and if it does return to it, it might have much more hardline demands.


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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 39 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (2 children)

Recently I have noticed that the US (not just Trump) have been pushing a lot of Anti-Latin Americanism and propaganda against the LatAm left;

Mexico

The Accusations:

  • Claudia has ties with the Cartels

  • Claudia supports Israel because she is Jewish

  • Claudia doesn't care about workers

  • Claudia is corrupt and unpopular

  • Claudia used the police to kill protestors

The Facts:

Governor of Sinaloa, Rubén Rocha Moya, have been targeted of a US and Elon Musk backed smear campaign for his handling of the Sinaloa Cartel Infighting. The US, without proof, decided he was a terrorist because he allegdly had ties with the cartels, this fake news was also promoted by Elon Musk. Claudia defended Rubén, and sided with him.

Claudia supported Operation Enjambre, which started in 2024, and led to the arrest and removal of a bunch of corrupt policemen and politician, which angered the US goverment. Claudia also democratized the Supreme Court by having direct elections to it, which also angered the US.

Claudia is still supporting Palestinian Statehood, and claims with proof that Israel is commiting genocide in Gaza, Lebanon and West Bank. Mexican police entered in conflict with both soccer fans and striking workers' and unfortunely 14 people died, Mexican police still is pretty brutal even under MORENA. She is still one of the most popular leaders in the world.

Sources: 1 2 3 4

BrazilThe Accusations:

  • Lula has ties with the Cartels

  • Lula's son is involved with crimes

  • Lula is unpopular

  • Brazilian Supreme Court controls the country and it's a dictatorship

  • Lula defended the Paraguayan War Genocide

The Facts:

Lula never had any ties with organized crime, in fact, many members of his party in the past were killed by organized crime. Contrary to Jair Bolsonaro who is deeply tied to the Brazilian Militia, a far-right cartel that operates in Rio de Janeiro. Lula headed the Operation Hidden Carbon, which found and arrested lots of politicians and rich people involved with the cartels, and that angered the US goverment (including democrats who had ties with said people).

Lula's son, Lulinha, doesn't even have any political role and barely talks with his dad, as Lula himself said "If my son commited a crime then he'll go to jail and pay for it,". Bolsonaro changed the head of the Brazilian Federal Police when they investigated his sons' crimes. Lulinha is a businessman, but doesn't seem to be involved in any real crime, also they have been investigating him since 2002, curiously every time they investigate him he's found innocent a month after the elections, despite the claims being genuinely weird like "he owns a ferrari made out of gold". Lula da Silva is approved by 49% of the population.

Lula didn't defend the Paraguayan Genocide, but he did compare Donald Trump and Milei to Solano Lopes (dictator of Paraguay). Paraguay is just being used by the US to create a false comparison between the Palestinian Genocide with the Paraguayan war. Paraguay is a civic-military dictatorship.

No, the surpreme court does not control the country, that is a lie promoted by Elon Musk because they sized his assets in Brazil since he refused to follow the Brazilian Law. Some justices might genuinely hate Bolsonaro, but thats because he tried to kill them in a military coup.

Sources: 1 2 3 4

[–] Athena5898@hexbear.net 21 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I feel like if you live in the US, generally speaking you don't get to be critical of South America. Almost anything that has happened that is shit down there has its roots in US bullshit. Minus the OG colonizers.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 16 points 2 days ago

In present day it's like 80% the US and Europe's fault and 20% just infighting between Latin American nations and political groups.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 25 points 2 days ago (1 children)

NicaraguaThe Accusations:

  • Daniel Ortega is arresting Catholics

  • Daniel Ortega said there will be no more elections

The Facts:

Daniel Ortega said that the goverment won't allow US and Somoza backed candidates to run in the country elections. He also have arrested and freed, catholics who were linked with the US goverment and CIA.

Sources: 1

UruguayThe Accusations:

  • Orsi Yamandu is corrupt and used public funds to buy a car

The Facts:

Orsi Yamandu bought a pickup truck with discounted some months before becoming president, he already apologized about that, and that shouldn't affect his goverment in anyway possible.

Sources: 1

[–] RedDawn@hexbear.net 23 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

The claim about Ortega canceling elections really stood out to me as an intentional lie. I even saw him misquoted in Spanish by El País. There is a video clip at the top of the article where you can clearly hear Ortega say “no volveráN a ver elecciones” (they won’t see elections again) in reference to far-right coup plotters specifically. The article text however quotes him as saying “no volverá a haber elecciones” (there won’t be any more elections). It’s really sneaky, because phonologically the only difference is that N sound in volverán, which is clearly audible in the video, so stripped of context the misquote could be played off as an honest mistake if called out, but I think it’s intentional. Then the fake quote gets translated into English for CNN/NYT etc and nobody reading that suspects that he might not have ever said “there will be no more elections” because they present it as a literal quote.