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this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2023
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the_dunk_tank
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It's the dunk tank.
This is where you come to post big-brained hot takes by chuds, libs, or even fellow leftists, and tear them to itty-bitty pieces with precision dunkstrikes.
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If we start from the premise of "conflict with Russia and China are inevitable", isn't a much smaller and relatively safe war where one of the countries gets to test out the issues with its logistics and mobilizations efforts not a good thing. Like if you're a NATO think tank guy wouldn't you rather that Russia discovers its military has corruption issues to the point of incompetence during WWIII rather than a precursor war that lets it sort that out?
Also, if you're NATO the last thing you want under those assumptions is an analogue to the Spanish civil war where everybody gets to see how good their latest and greatest toys are in an actual battlefield. Half of NATO's arsenal is made up of MIC make-work projects so utterly divorced from reality that it's a miracle they don't fall out of the sky or break down right off the assembly lines, and revealing as such just makes everyone take you far less seriously than before.
There's a reason West Africa is telling France to fuck off right now, and it's 100% encouraged by the shitshow in Ukraine.
Counterpoint: half of the marine corps vehicles breaking down within the first 24 hours of the first Iraq war, ultimately either getting abandoned or towed off the battlefield without a single shot fired, was very funny.