this post was submitted on 17 Jun 2026
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You're not supposed to say that before the operation
There is literally nothing russia can do at this point but shit their pants and pace back and forth nervously.
The fear is integral to the military impact, so is the anticipation, why do people not understand this? Secrecy when unnecessary makes things more dangerous because it means that the entire thing must be done to have impact whereas if you point out the possibility of something before you do it you begin to project power without having to even act or take that particular path in reality. With secrecy, possibility has no inherent power, that is the trade off.
The thing is russian military higher ups know an amphibious operation/invasion of Crimea is a real possibility, they don't need a random youtuber to tell them.
This video doesn't include secret time tables or information that would actually blow the cover of a real specific operation, it makes it so the idiots who think russia can hold Crimea begin to get more and more nervous and demand the higher ups explain how russia can hold Crimea when the higher ups themselves know it is impossible longterm.
Our chief weapon is fear. Fear and anticipation. Our two weapons are fear, anticipation and secrecy. Our three weapons...
...I'll come in again.
Governments & militaries regular leak things like this for strategic purposes. This could very well be misinformation to force Russia to try to quickly reinforce Crimea while Ukraine plans and eventually attacks Russia elsewhere.
Just by talking about it:
Civilians who moved to Crimea from Russia are likely to move back to Russia.
Encourages Russia to hold significant reserves and stockpiles in the peninsula to fend off an incursion instead of sending them to the front.
The story probably wouldn't reach the majority in Russia or the areas it controls though. It has to come from within, like going to the gas station and having to be in a long queue, or hearing an explosion nearby.
they might get a clue when they suddenly see a significant influx in the amount of military equipment and defensive structures in their neighbourhoods
Unless you're being strategic. Force Russia to concentrate it's defenses in Crimea at the expense of Donbas kind of idea.
You are very supposed to say that before the operation.
Because enemies running away ease the operation.