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If the US went in with the big stick, Cuba would fall in a week. Russia doesn’t have the heft to support Cuba at this time and a China doesn’t have the tradition and reach. Most Cubans have deep connections with the US and they know the different in quality of life. There’s be very little support from the population towards the regime. Cuba has barely any friends internationally.
That doesn’t make it right. But of all the countries to “take”, Cuba would be the simplest for the US. And Trump might just be mad enough to do it.
You are vastly underestimating cuban peoples commitment to the revolution (they on avg have better QOL than an avg american). Calling it regime you are manufacturing consent for invasion but again you are western british chauvinist so this is expected.
The US has been in with the big stick for 50+ years against Cuba and they've resisted not just fine but with a higher life expectancy than the US. They just haven't invaded militarily so far because they expect greater internal and international support for the Cuban government as a result, so their strategy is to enforce hunger through sanctions. From the US office of the historian:
"Salient considerations respecting the life of the present Government of Cuba are:
The majority of Cubans support Castro (the lowest estimate I have seen is 50 percent). 2. There is no effective political opposition. 3. Fidel Castro and other members of the Cuban Government espouse or condone communist influence. 4. Communist influence is pervading the Government and the body politic at an amazingly fast rate. 5. Militant opposition to Castro from without Cuba would only serve his and the communist cause. 6. The only foreseeable means of alienating internal support is through disenchantment and disaffection based on economic dissatisfaction and hardship. If the above are accepted or cannot be successfully countered, it follows that every possible means should be undertaken promptly to weaken the economic life of Cuba. If such a policy is adopted, it should be the result of a positive decision which would call forth a line of action which, while as adroit and inconspicuous as possible, makes the greatest inroads in denying money and supplies to Cuba, to decrease monetary and real wages, to bring about hunger, desperation and overthrow of government."
And most Cubans are aware that the reason is the economic embargo, and that at least they can afford rent and healthcare unlike yanks.
You're absolutely making that up.
I honestly don't know why they went Iran instead of Cuba if they wanted to wave their big dick around.
Completely agree. Iran of all places - I genuinely think he believed he could somehow force a better deal than Obama. Talk about not understanding the regime.