this post was submitted on 10 Apr 2026
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Again, I see no material basis for 28 administration caring about Europe. Things are only going to get worse economically in the next couple years, and the US is going to have to husband their resources that much more as a result. The rise of nationalism in Europe is also inevitable for the same reason. As the economic situation continues to deteriorate, the countries that are better off will start pulling up the ladders.
Absent the belligerents industrial capacity to wage war, what will the second Great War look like?
Personally, I think a major war is not a likely scenario. I'm expecting something more akin to the Soviet collapse in the 90s.