this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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Yes, I think it's realistic if we look at how things in computing have changed even just within the last few decades.
https://gs.statcounter.com/browser-market-share#monthly-200901-202603 in early 2009, IE was at ~65%, Chrome at <2%, we've gone from that to "IE does not exist" and Chrome in the same spot IE was then
https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share#monthly-200901-202603 in early 2009, Windows was at ~94%, now it is at ~26% with Android having taken the top spot, even that is just at ~37%, so there is now no dominant operating system overall
https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/desktop/worldwide#monthly-200901-202603 even disregarding mobile devices, Windows has fallen from ~95% to ~61% in that time frame
and maybe I'm just old but early 2009 doesn't seem an enormously long time ago somehow
2009 maybe doesn't sound super long ago, but it's 17 years, that's almost the midpoint between now and when operating systems became mainstream.