this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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Climate

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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In just the last year, the Trump administration has derailed an international carbon tax, boosted forecasts for oil and gas, and sought to silence an island nation’s climate campaign.

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[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

derailed an international carbon tax

While inflating oil prices by $40 bbl

boosted forecasts for oil and gas

Not out of Qatar, the UAE, or Kuwait

sought to silence an island nation’s climate campaign

Last month, the U.S. State Department took its anti-climate pressure campaign to the United Nations General Assembly. The agency sent a missive to every U.S. embassy and consulate, urging all U.N. members to reject a resolution proposed by the Pacific island nation of Vanuatu. Vanuatu and its neighbors in the region had recently brought a successful case to the International Court of Justice, or ICJ; the court ruled that countries have an obligation to mitigate climate change. The resolution called on states to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, phase out support for fossil fuels, and pay climate reparations, among other measures.

...

In its message, the Trump administration called the “disturbing resolution” a “charade” and asked Vanuatu to “immediately withdraw” the effort and “cease attempting to wield the Court’s Advisory Opinion as a basis for creating an avenue to pursue any misguided claims of international legal obligations.”

Lee-Anne Sackett, Vanuatu’s special envoy for climate justice, said negotiations on the resolution have continued at the U.N. despite U.S. pressure. Strong advocacy from island nations continues, and none of the dozen countries who proposed the resolution alongside Vanuatu have rescinded their support.

shrug

Idk. In classic Trump fashion, it seems like he's getting the opposite of what he asked for. But also in classic Trump fashion, it feels as though he's going to come out ahead anyway - almost entirely by accident - as US oil export prices sore and Middle Eastern monarchies rally around the American flag to fight Iran.

I have a hard time believing a bottleneck that plugs 20% of the global oil reserve will be a bad thing for the climate. Or that surging oil prices will deter the rollout of green energy solutions globally. But for Trump, specifically, it does feel like a "Heads I Win / Tails You Lose" crisis.

[–] brucethemoose@lemmy.world 2 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

War is bad for the climate, and the plug is almost certainly temporary, unfortunately.

Trump is losing a lot of political capital here, but TBH I think he’s being used by everyone. US petrol got far more they paid for, Tech is getting what they paid for, and someone else will just take his place…

TVH, I hope Trump makes it.

Hell, Id rather have him for a third term than JD Vance for the next. Vance scares the shit out of me.