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165

Prewar US intel assessment found intervention in Iran wasn't likely to change leadership (apnews.com)

submitted 22 hours ago by MicroWave@lemmy.world to c/world@lemmy.world

38 comments fedilink hide all child comments

A U.S. intelligence assessment completed shortly before the United States and Israel launched a war in Iran had determined that American military intervention was not likely to lead to regime change in the Islamic Republic, according to two people familiar with the finding.

The National Intelligence Council’s assessment in February concluded that neither limited airstrikes nor a larger, prolonged military campaign would be likely to result in a new government taking over in Iran, even if the current leadership was killed, according to the two people, who spoke on condition of anonymity to describe the classified report.

The determination undercuts the administration’s assertion that it can complete its objectives in Iran relatively quickly, perhaps in a matter of weeks. The administration has asserted that it was not seeking regime change in Iran, even as the strikes have taken out many figures in the Iranian leadership and President Donald Trump considers whom he would like to see lead the country.

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[–] sepi@piefed.social -3 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Tell me you are american without telling me you're american. Plot twist: I am american too.

[–] grue@lemmy.world 2 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (1 children)

You think I'm American because -- checks notes -- I care about getting names and relationships right and understand that there isn't necessarily a 1:1 relationship between what a name actually is in its native language and what it looks like written in English?

I am American, but I don't understand why you apparently think that's a common characteristic of us or why you want to give me an angry backhanded compliment about it.

[–] sepi@piefed.social 1 points 1 hour ago

No. It's cos not knowing about other countries, their politicians or their names. People abroad know many american politicians, but americans know few, if any, foreign politicians.

And in your response, this is not something you even consider as being the thing that tells on you. Me, I became american the other day, so I've been doing the other thing.