this post was submitted on 02 Mar 2026
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Polling looks not bad but not great. Biss is a solid handful of points in the lead, but with Fine in the mix, they are clearly splitting the NPR liberal demographic.
The polling was also a telephone poll and Abugazala does best with the 18-35 and 35-45 groups. She does have a commanding lead in the 18-35:s at 90%+.
If she wins the primary it's going to look like an upset, but it will be for the work theyve done on the ground building a basis of suport
I'm most surprised that they found more than ten 18 - 35 year olds to pick up the phone (from an unknown number, at that).
If Kat has been focusing on growing voters into the coalition, they'll do great.