this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2026
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Climate

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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The paper is here

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[–] hanrahan@slrpnk.net 8 points 21 hours ago (2 children)

Anything to avoid riding a bicycle and bot flying.

[–] jafra@slrpnk.net 1 points 13 hours ago
[–] Tiresia@slrpnk.net 1 points 16 hours ago

This actually only matters if we stop flying. Currently, fossil fuel consumption is doing this thing that reduces global warming in the short term (atmospheric aerosols), so if we stop polluting this thing will stop happening. However, spraying salt into the stratosphere would be a far less polluting way to keep doing the same thing.

We can also not do the thing, which means an extra degree of global warming, or we can keep using fossil fuels, which means an extra degree of global warming every decade or two plus that extra degree when fossil fuels run out.

(I say "global warming" deliberately, because these aerosols do lead to more climate change on a continental scale even if on a global scale those changes average out somewhat. 3 degrees of warming with aerosols is worse than 3 degrees without aerosols, though it's still better than 4 degrees).