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The CIA has consistently reported that not only do Russian strategists and leaders not have the intention to invade more of Europe, they also do not have the capability and capacity to do so.
So yes, it's a crackpot hypothesis because it doesn't match reality as we know it.
TBF you don't need to be the CIA to observe that part.
Yes. Which is why the discourse is so obviously manufactured I can't believe any of you don't see it.
The enemy is both weak and strong. Russia is both losing terrible for 4 years straight and also we need another $100B worth of the most powerful weapons in the world. Russia is both sending soldiers out to the fields without shoes or guns and also if we don't send more support Ukraine will lose. Russia is both almost completely out of soldiers and tanks and also all they will invade all of Europe if Ukraine falls.
It's so obvious. It's been obvious for years. The same people saying it's obvious that Russia is in an abject state are the same ones saying that unless we send weapons, or even troops, then Europe will be overrun by Russian hordes.
It's important that we see this discourse for what it is - pure manipulation of the masses. It has no basis in reality. Most of the discourse on the conflict has no basis in reality. The ruling class of the Western empire has one objective - maintain power over the world, including and most importantly, their domestic working class.
Hanlon's razor, though. There's always a tendency to think this way about enemies. The trick is not letting it become official doctrine, if you want to be the good guy and want to win.
And it's not FWIW. There's clickbait about imminent doom and shitposters talking about how Russians are just sunflower holders, but actual officers, agencies and analysts paint a much more nuanced picture.
Social credit +20
Believabilty -1,000
https://quincyinst.org/research/right-sizing-the-russian-threat-to-europe/
That's an argument, not proof.