this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2026
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A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of a Quds Day march in Bandar Abbas, Iran.


It now seems likely that, very soon, the US and the Zionists will attempt to bomb Iran. Compared to the buildup to the Iraq War, the stated goals of such a move are being kept a little more generalized - some say the point is to overthrow the government for "humanitarian" purposes (others are more honest and want to partition Iran into a dozen powerless statelets). Some people instead say the point is to get rid of the ballistic missile program, which is synonymous with outright surrender, as no matter the deal, bombers would be en route within 10 minutes of the last batch being handed over.

Still others say that the goal is to destroy the Iranian nuclear program, which, as the thread title implies, is now in a bizarre propaganda superposition: it is apparently simultaneously true to the Trump administration that the US obliterated the nuclear facilities and set back Iran's nuclear program years, if not decades, but also that Iran is mere days away from finishing a nuke and a new round of bombing is urgently required. This obviously casts newfound doubts on how effective US weapons even are at penetrating Iran's underground facilities (though it doesn't necessarily mean they didn't breach them, as Iran was almost certainly moving nuclear material out of Fordow and other sites in the days before the Twelve Day War). The sheer quantity of US anti-air defense equipment they're shifting into position also casts doubts on whether Iran's air defense was mostly destroyed during that conflict, as those who assert that the Zionists had total air supremacy over Iran seem to be implying.

I'm not a military guy, and so I have no novel insights on how such a war is likely to go, nor do I feel confident predicting either side's victory. I'm looking at most of the same sources that you're all looking at. Some confidently boast of the total destruction of Iran's air defense within hours, allowing US planes to fly directly over Iranian cities and drop bombs en masse; others cast doubts on whether this will ever occur, and say that the US's limited supply of Tomahawk missiles is the only major firepower they will be able to safely unleash. Some say this war will last mere days before state collapse; others say months, maybe even years. I have no idea.

I do at least feel somewhat bolstered by the fact that Russia and China finally appear to be pouring in meaningful information and matériel to help Iran this time around, though of course, one can still debate whether it's enough. I feel like we are at the culmination of decades of war planning by both the US and Iran, and the result could have deep ramifications indeed.


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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
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English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 4 points 13 hours ago (2 children)

you can if you suppress air defense systems and just fly around. but your argument is genocidal in any case, so i suggest modifying it, committed nazis sit in the back in any case and "recruit" working class people without bribe money to die.

[–] ourtimewillcome@hexbear.net 5 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago) (1 children)

you accusing someone from the actual region of being genocidal. lol, lmao even.

the killing of soldiers in a war is not an act of genocide. and besides, the crimes of the ukrop nazis are on their own conscience, not on the one of the russian leadership or military. the latters actions are indeed explicitly geared towards the liberation of the common ukrainian from the hoholfash régime, with russia having done everything in its power to mitigate the tragic byproducts that we now see with the war by repeatedly insisting on trying to find a political avenue to achieve its goals, even if that meant compromizing its own objectives.

now, as to your actual arguments in your original comment: firstly, what you are advocating for striking are civilian targets, making their targeting a war crime. this line of thinking is not only ethically horrendous, not to say rather odd given the sort of accusations youre ready to throw at others, but also just flawed strategally. this kind of shock and awe approach of trading the guarantee of quick and flashy victories for having to fight a grueling and borderline unwinnable insurgency by sowing wind while failing to gain control over the instruments with which the enemy will force you to reap the storm, is exactly why the american war in afghanistan and the (imho actually genocidal) invasion of iraq failed. now imagine said insurgency taking place not across some ocean, but directly bordering you.

compare that instead with post-1945 germany where there wasnt even the slightest whiff of a hitlerite uprising, despite the nazi state having produced no shortage of fanatics. why? because germanys fighting capacity was completely and utterly destroyed. virtually all of its military-aged male population was either dead, imprisoned or physically disabled, thus posing no threat. sadly, this is what demilitarization ultimatly looks like. yes, its a horrific picture, but all war is hell. the russian government has been trying everithing they could to avoid things coming to this by advocating for a political solution, but the west left them no choice. the crime is ultimatly the fault of washington not moscow.

also, lightning fast advances are only possible if the enemy is sufficIiently weak. and as i said previously, one shouldnt underestimate ukraines military capabilities, what exactly did russias 2022 kiev offensive achieve?

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 3 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

their offensive on kiev was a punking move, them fumbling kharkov (and odessa, but there are complications there) resulted in this precise situation we are in.

i mean we are observing roughly same situation for 2 years running: ukraine recruits 15-25k a month, 10k escapes, 15k goes to frontlines and dies, and this shit goes on. Now, how to decisively break that situation aside from chewing through all the aforementioned 4 million men (~2.5-3.2 million remaining) 15k in a month, with running your own casualties up?

you either break stream of men, stream of explosives/fuel/parts or central command. each of the routes, i think, is viable (aside from 2nd without air superiority) for russia. ukraine cannot recruit those men if their congress thingy is a smoking crater, or if their police stations are.

russia can't foment riots cause ukrainian nazis and cops will just shoot them, russia doesn't shoot down starlink satellites, doesn't strike at ministry of defense, even perfomatively. deeply unserious people, and that's a dangerous thing to be.

so just chewing through all male population, on the (losing) bet that 800 million west won't outproduce them in hardware amount on a decade horizon? because to do otherwise would be warcrimes? or more likely explanation that they are compromised by porkies

[–] ourtimewillcome@hexbear.net 4 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

my man, you talk about russia getting "infiltrated" by porkies as if those were somehow an external entity. the russian government is a liberal capitalist government operating on liberal capitalist logic. denazification and demilitarization are its goals because those militant nazis happen to pose a threat to the interests of the russian bourgeoisie, to which it is ultimatly beholden. it just so happens that said interests temporarily converge with those of the global proletariat and thus are historically progressive.

also, what would bombing the ministry accomplish beyond further galvanizing western support for the ukrainian régime?and what will striking official recruitment centres achieve? not only would such a strategy be easily mitigated by ukraine providing russia with falsified intelligence, leading to it targeting decoy locations, recruitment would simply shift to a unregulated and undocumented underground model, a process supposedly already underway. groups like daesh, nusra and shabaab have proven that forced recruitment remains possible even under the most difficult conditions.

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 1 points 6 hours ago (2 children)

infiltrated by comprador porkies, as opposed to nationalist porkies. (nationalism, it appears, is a dying ideology in any case, but that requires further treatlerism observation for another 2 decades tbh).

galvanizing further to what exactly? giving them fighter jets and flying radars? oh wait.

yeah, i think striking their rada during another mobilization drive is progressive (and would be popular), just as striking recruitment centers, local ukrainians will happily provide them coordinates

making it underground model would be precisely the goal, disintegration into lawlessness and promoting inter-gang warfare, you know, aims of war is to win, not to white knight yourself into killing fields for a decade.

[–] ourtimewillcome@hexbear.net 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

"comprador porkies" and "nationalist porkies" arent actually two distinct groups opposed to each other. when it comes down to it, capital doesnt have any kind of loyalty towards any nation, religion, culture or other grouping besides itself as a class. what people may as a "nationalist capitalist" is simply a bourgeois who profits from acting that way, a comprador capitalist is much of the same. and very often they are the same person, as one may see with most if not all of the russian "nationalist" ruling class having been best friends with the west in the 90s

and no, russia does NOT profit from civilizational collapse in a country right next door. societal disintigration of this sort is what lead to this whole situation in ukraine in the first place, with the tyranny of the kiev régime being a far cry from the centralized state-led terror of the third reich, instead taking the more decentral, "privatized" approach of the modern alt-right (i remember some pro-russian liberal commentator dubbing it "anarchical totalitarianism"). any extremist insurgent group that would inevitably emerge from a collapse would immediatly seep through the incredibly porous border into the new territories and beyond. daesh didnt exactly stay in iraq, now did it?

the goal of war is to achieve your aims, not to sow needless misery and instability by chasing some idealist conception of an honerable victory.

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

that implies extremist insurgent group would be worse than current nazi-loving bunch, non? which are anarchists and socialists, from porkies state pov. if only russia could have understood that leftists can give them protection against empire, any patriotic capitalist dipshit will sell their country for a photo-op (see armenia, complete lmayo)

russia could have solved its problem by like 3-5 targeted assassinations between 90s-10s of oligarchs and talking heads, now they got this, pardon me if i don't see their strategic vision of "finance countries capitalists next door until they sell you out" as a viable strategy.

[–] ourtimewillcome@hexbear.net 1 points 5 hours ago

a far-right extremist isurgency, especially in an area with a not exactly exclusivly loyal and easily infiltrated population would indeed be quite the conundrum for russia to deal with, propably even moreso than a state army. terrorist death cults have proven themselves quite effective for the west (see syria), which is precisly why it has been supporting caucasus emirate, as well those o9a weirdos. some people were also speculating, that these odd raids into bryansk and belgorod oblasts by the rdk back in 2023 were also concieved to establish bases of operations for a planned pro-western nazi insurgency, though i remain quite sceptical of that theory, imho it was just pr.

you are indeed quite correct about capitalist class interest preventing the russian government from taking the most rational approach to the conflict.

[–] SickSemper@hexbear.net 4 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago) (1 children)

You can not demilitarize by air, otherwise Hamas would be done for

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 2 points 12 hours ago

i don't think russia is bothered by rpg or small arms, that's whatever in grand scheme of things, they are threatened by launchers and highway to moscow in 600 km from the border