this post was submitted on 08 Dec 2025
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Image is of people passing through a road affected by landslides in Sri Lanka in the aftermath of the cyclone.


Over the last week, Sri Lanka has been hit by their worst national natural disaster since the 2004 Boxing Day Tsunami. Over 2 million people (about 10% of the population) were affected; the death toll is currently climbing past 600; nearly a hundred thousand homes have been damaged or destroyed, transport infrastructure is heavily damaged; industry has been damaged; and farmland has been flooded. The cost of damage so far looks to be about $7 billion, which is more than the combined budget spent on healthcare and education in Sri Lanka.

While there is plenty to say meteorologically about how this yet another concerning escalation as a result of climate change (Sri Lanka does experience cyclones, but they are usually significantly weaker than this), it's important to note that such disasters are, to at least a certain extent, able to warned about and their impacts somewhat mitigated. However, this requires both access to early detection and warning equipment, and an economy in which development is widespread - in this case, particularly in the construction of drainage systems and regulated construction, which has not generally occurred.

The IMF, on its 17th program with Sri Lanka, is doing its utmost to prevent such an economy from developing, as they instead promote reductions in public investment. On top of this, the rebuilding effort for Sri Lanka is already being planned and funded, and such donors include, of course, many Sri Lankan oligarchs, who will rebuild the damaged portions of the country yet further according to their visions, while sidelining the working class.

Perhaps neoliberalism's decay into its eventual death occurring concurrently into the gradual intensification of climate change and renewed wars signifies the rise of the era of disaster capitalism.


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Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
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Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

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https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
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https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
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https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
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https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 4 months ago (5 children)

Lula, Maduro spoke about situation in Caribbean, South America, Brazil's government says - Reuters

BRASILIA, Dec 11 (Reuters) - Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva spoke last week with his Venezuelan counterpart Nicolas Maduro about the situation in the Caribbean and South America, the Brazilian government said on Thursday.

The two leaders held a "quick call" on December 2, the government said, adding that there were no further developments after the call.

The call was their first since before last year's presidential election in Venezuela. At the time, the Brazilian government and international observers contested Maduro's self-proclaimed reelection.

Brazilian newspaper O Globo, citing sources, was the first on Thursday to report the call. Its report said Lula expressed concerns about the growing U.S. military presence in the Caribbean as President Donald Trump ramps up pressure on Maduro's socialist government.

In previous talks with Trump, the leftist Brazilian leader has offered to act as a mediator in negotiations between the U.S. and Venezuela, but has not received a response from Washington.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 25 points 4 months ago (4 children)

Bet you Lula really fucking regrets yanking Maduro around with the election.

[–] TheSovietOnion@hexbear.net 21 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Being fair, Brazil was probably trying to figure out how to get some benefit out of the inevitable attacks Venezuela was going to suffer anyway.

I wonder if the whole "let's explore oil in the Amazon!" fiasco they've been doing for the past 2-3 years probably has to do with calculating America's advance in the region

[–] CarmineCatboy2@hexbear.net 9 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

Brazil's oil exploitation has an inertia all of its own, a century in the making. Picture a country slightly more extensive than the continental United States, but without anywhere near as much in terms of in built infrastructure of its geography, meaning natural harbours and navigable rivers. Granted, the United States in unique in its many blessings on that department. But Brazil's energy sources have been disproportionately shitty and scarce since the 1800s. In the coal age Brazil, like the rest of Latin America, only had access to substandard, hard to access and small quantities of mineral coal. In the oil age Brazil, unlike much of Latin America, simply did not have the oil to sustain its energy and transportation needs.

As the population grew and car driven development took off in the post war period, Brazilian nationalism gave way to a state owned oil company in the form of Petrobrás. But for the longest time Petrobrás was more of an oil refiner than an oil prospector because Brazil simply did not find anything that noteworthy within its continental shelf. All the massive prospecting that was not without its yields. Brazil did produce some oil here and there and did find surprising reserves of all kinds of minerals, including Iron. But the country only really struck oil in these final decades of the oil age, since the 2000s, with offshore continental reserves that it invested heavily into exploiting the shit out of. Today Brazil has maybe the 15th largest reserves of oil or something while being a top 5 oil producer. It is a disparity only slightly more lopsided than that of China and we all know the kind of energy demands entail being the world's factory and second largest by population.

There's just so much history as well as national, local and nationalist politics that go into fueling something like the oil exploitation at the mouth of the Amazon. The national education system is partially financed via these natural resource payments. States and municipalities pay off their debts with each other and the Federal government via their own shares. If Venezuela is a player in this story it is because the US offensive against both Venezuela and Brazil's refinery projects in the Caribbean cut short any sort of regional energy cooperation in the 2010s.

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