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Image is of Rixi Moncada of the LIBRE Party voting in the election.


On November 30th, Hondurans voted to choose their next President, as well as deputies to the Congress, councillors, and other candidates. Like all elections in Latin America, the looming shadow of American intervention will be a major factor in deciding the winner. In this election, that intervention has been fairly naked, with Trump literally stating who he wishes to win (the far-right nationalist guy, Nasry Asfura). Asfura has said that if he does not win, American funding to the country will dry up - a clear threat - and Trump has additionally pardoned the former Honduran president and US ally Juan Orlando Hernández, imprisoned for smuggling cocaine into the US.

The other candidates in this election are Salvador Nasralla of the Liberal Party, who is essentially running on the same platform as Asfura with some differences (such differences would inevitably vanish if he were to win); and Rixi Moncada of the progressive (self-described as democratic socialist) LIBRE Party. The narrative about this election is - try not to yawn - the neverending battle of democracy against communism. This narrative is obviously very important to uphold in the current environment of accelerated aggression against Venezuela, Colombia, Mexico, and others.

Who is going to win? As of me writing this sentence, the results have not yet been fully reported. However, there has been something of a scandal in regards to a plot - with recorded voices, though those guilty plead AI tampering - to show the best possible preliminary results for the right wing, so as to manipulate the narrative and morale of the population. The idea, is presumably, that if LIBRE were to win, the fascists could say "How did LIBRE go from 20% of the vote (which is what the preliminary results showed) to a victory?! It must be communist meddling!"

Of course, it's entirely possible that LIBRE won't win anyway, or get particularly close. We shall see how things turn out very shortly.


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Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
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Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

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https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
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https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
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https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

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[–] Tervell@hexbear.net 38 points 1 day ago (3 children)

https://archive.ph/D3Oud

Air Force leaders axe major China-focused organizational efforts

The service continues to unravel its “reoptimization for Great Power Competition” strategy.

more

Air Force leaders are axing more major organizational changes started under the Biden administration such as reorienting commands, creating new offices, and shifting combat forces for a potential fight with China, the service’s top leaders said Tuesday. The service will no longer stand up Air Development Command, which aimed to subsume Air Education and Training Command and further combine the service’s force-development efforts, consolidate its functional managers, and create several new centers of excellence for certain career fields. Instead, AETC will retain its name and responsibilities, Air Force Secretary Troy Meink and Chief of Staff Gen. Ken Wilsbach said in a press release that described a memo sent to their service the previous day. Nor will the service reorient Air Combat Command to “focus on generating and presenting ready forces,” but rather keep it working to “organize, train, and equip combat ready Airmen,” the release said.

The service will:

  • Stop establishing its Air Base Wing concept.
  • Cancel plans for a new Program Assessment and Evaluation Office to handle resource analysis.
  • Not create an Air Force Materiel Command Information Dominance Systems Center, Air Force Nuclear Systems Center, or an Air Dominance Systems Support Center to sustain and improve aircraft and intercontinental ballistic missiles.

These steps are the latest in Meink and Wilsbach’s efforts to undo “Reoptimization for Great Power Competition," a 24-point plan released in early 2024 by then-Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall. Execution of the plan, which aimed to prepare the Air Force for a potential fight against China, was put on hold in February by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. For months, it wasn’t clear what initiatives Meink, who took office in May, would keep or gut. In September, the Air Force secretary told reporters that he was “getting close” to making decisions on the reorganization plans tied to China, but hinted that he wasn’t “a big believer in the competition side of the house.” In the press release, he and Wilsbach appeared to allude to the Trump administration’s decisions to shift national-security focus to the Americas. “As our adversaries and the strategic environment continue to evolve, our approach to ensuring a credible and ready force must also adjust. Air superiority is not guaranteed,” the service leaders wrote. “Through flexibility and clear-eyed assessment, our Air Force will continue to fly, fix, and fight now and into the future.”

In October, the service spiked plans for a new Integrated Capabilities Command intended to speed up the acquisition of new technologies and weapons. One former defense official familiar with the past efforts said it wasn’t clear how the current Air Force leaders intend to improve such integration. “There's different ways to solve that problem and it is not shocking to me that they would choose a different way than what was chosen by the previous team, but the question remains. How are you going to do it?” the former defense official said. “The announcements that I've seen do not explain how it's going to be done, and so my concern would be if they just don't do it, if they don't provide that integration function, it will knock back our ability to compete with China.” The official added that Hegseth’s mandate to reduce the number of general and flag officers across the military services likely sealed the fate for many of those commands and centers the Air Force hoped to create. The memo also scraps a plan to to change Air Forces Central Command and Air Forces Northern Command/Air Forces Space from numbered Air Forces into Service Component Commands that report to the Air Force Secretary through the Air Force Chief of Staff. Those will remain as numbered Air Forces. Similarly, Air Forces Southern Command will remain the air component to U.S. Southern Command and the 12th Air Force will be re-established as a numbered Air Force inside Air Combat Command, the release said.

The memo noted that Meink and Wilsbach were keeping some elements of the reoptimization plan, including keeping warrant officers focused on cyber missions, wing units of actions, large-scale exercises and keeping various smaller integrated development and capabilities offices. The former defense official said it was encouraging to see some of those ideas kept, and believes some of those smaller offices could take on some roles that those centers would have taken on for the service’s integration efforts. “They can beef up those organizations to perform more of the functions that you would have seen, for example, in the system centers,” the former defense official said. “That's certainly a possible solution, and I hope they do that.”

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 20 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

This kind of waffling is positive. Even if a more China hawkish administration follows trump, like the Biden nitwits, then this is a waste of 3-4 years. That's 3-4 years the empire can't afford.

[–] ProletarianDictator@hexbear.net 9 points 18 hours ago

This is too good of news to be believed. Why would the ghouls in US foreign policy abandon their ultimate goal in favor of increased loot rates from latin america for a few years?

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 36 points 1 day ago (2 children)

So the pivot out of China and into latinamerica is in full swing

[–] jack@hexbear.net 41 points 1 day ago (1 children)

It's the move the empire always makes whenever it's losing on the global stage. Refocus on the "backyard" where it can better exert its power, recoup, restrategize. Hopefully it's too late from the simple economic momentum - there's no way the US is supplanting China as LatAm's primary trading power while it continues its economic tailspin.

May the people of Venezuela, if necessary, deliver a swift and brutal punch to the empire's nose should it go to war.

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 29 points 23 hours ago (2 children)

I'm starting to think that the US is being consistently 10 years behind where they should be.

  • They should have pushed for Ukraine into NATO by 2004, not 2014, Russia was much weaker then.
  • They should have decoupled from China by 2014, not now. China was much more dependent on the US and the rapid industrialization and initiatives like BRICS and the BRI under Xi Jinping where a paper note.
  • They would have probably had more success in pushing Iran out since they were much weaker under sanctions.
  • In the case of Venezuela? With the huge migratory flows after the oil sanctions and Venezuela's hyper inflation, as well as the right wing wave in the region, the US could have tried an overt invasion campaign and would have likely succeeded.

Now, I think none of those countries are as weak as 10 years ago. In fact ALL of them are in their relative peaks.

[–] Damarcusart@hexbear.net 11 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

I think a lot of people in the US administration still think it is the early 2000s where they have near total global dominance, or at least assumed that this particular "history is over" era would never end. So they've just let the rest of the world catch up to them because they assumed they would always be on top forever.

[–] TreadOnMe@hexbear.net 2 points 1 hour ago

I think there is an element of that to it, but I think the larger aspect is that everyone in c government is always jumping from one manufactured scandal or crisis after another. It's less that they assumed they would always be on top and more that nobody who is in power actually plans for any future outside of their personal stakes. And because papers keep coming out that keep suggesting strategies, there are people in the government who are trying to plan for the future at large but they are not in power, and never will be on account of being consumed with planning for the future.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 20 points 23 hours ago
[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 21 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Yeah I mean this lines up perfectly with what @MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net was posting about yesterday. A clear signal to China that they have "free reign" in Asia in exchange for letting the Americans run amok in Latin America.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 16 points 21 hours ago

But what, then, is China actually giving up? They aren't going to stop trading or doing BRI. So they'll no longer... fund communist revolutions in Latin America? What a dramatic change that would be! Seems like just an American withdrawal.

[–] sexywheat@hexbear.net 23 points 1 day ago (1 children)

If this signals a wider standing-down of the Burger Reich in Asia then this is a massive surrender. I was expecting them to be gearing up for a full-scale war within the next 5 years (as NATO has all but openly stated)

[–] aanes_appreciator@hexbear.net 15 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

Who says they aren't? it's an awful lot of resources to maintain readiness posture across Asia on a front they're not likely to win conventionally.

They'll have more than enough resources to contain China if they instead focus on what has worked magnificently so far: staggering the regional powers until no one has the means to oppose the burgerreich for good.

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 15 points 22 hours ago

staggering the regional powers until no one has the means to oppose the burgerreich for good

I think the opposite is true. If anything the regional powers are more ready than ever to oppose the US.