this post was submitted on 18 Nov 2025
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If we're talking about the general West, then there new nuclear is probably fucked. Rest of the world still builds for reasonable costs. Not nuclear bro amounts, but still.
I think we could see a future where nuclear makes 5-10% of the world's electricity, which would technically make it a niche source of power, but it would also be a massive increase from today.
Nuclear already makes 9% of world's electricity.
OK, my bad. I was thinking about scenario like this: https://eneroutlook.enerdata.net/total-electricity-generation-projections.html
If you assume doubling of electricity production by 2050 (development + electrification) then 10% of that would mean more than double nuclear production.
5% would not really be a massive increase, my mistake, but would still mean more builds than retirement.
China has built a couple of reactors recently. They also went overbudget and overschedule.
Could be, I don't follow that closely. I'm not aware of any that come close to the level of shitshow of say, Hinckley Point C. That matters.