this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2025
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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/38836048

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Absolutely nobody could have predicted the current state of things based on Attention Is All You Need. Tech moves so quickly and unpredictably that trying to predict another 7 years is an easy way to make a fool of yourself. Someone could introduce an alternative to transformer architecture that makes AGI possible, Google Glass might catch on for real this time, companies might start generating content to increase engagement, as opposed to just recommending it, photonic chips might create a breakthrough in compute, or some secret other thing that nobody realized. Personally, I see robotics as a field with a lot of achievable progress to be made. Self driving cars already exist, and the market for them is real. Airlines are looking at single pilot cockpits, the demand and theoretical feasibility for fully autonomous forklifts exist, and tons of other things. The world hasn't run out of software to build yet.