this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2025
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I imagine that the amount of useful activities which can be performed on a computer remaining which haven't been implemented in some form of application or digital service is virtually zero. The tech industry boomed in the 90s because consumer access to PC hardware and the Internet was skyrocketing. It boomed again in the 00s-10s because smartphones filled a niche which computers couldn't, and consumer access skyrocketed further. Today, the market is saturated and there are no meaningful hardware innovations left to make, no new apps to write.
Of course, all this existing software and IT infrastructure requires maintenance, but the era of "upstart" VC-backed apps/websites becoming multi-billion dollar firms is finished. With "AI," we've reached the mountaintop removal phase of a dying industry.
In hindsight, the writing was already on the wall when they started introducing shit like smart ovens and washing machines. They already ran out of runway.
Maybe all of the stuff that needs to be written has been written, but the defacto standards are often not the best choices and they are almost always behind a huge corporate paywall. So if someone can figure out how to make money off of open source (don’t laugh!) there’s a huge niche there