this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2025
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A Utah judge on Monday rejected a Republican-approved congressional map in favor of an alternative that will create a Democratic-leaning district in the Beehive State.

Third District Judge Dianna Gibson wrote in her ruling that the map, which had a finalizing deadline on Monday, “does not comply with Utah law.”

Republicans’ House map, known as Map C, “was drawn with partisan political data on display. Map C does not abide by Proposition 4’s traditional redistricting criteria ‘to the greatest extent practicable,’” Gibson wrote, referring to the 2018 ballot measure approved by voters that reformed redistricting standards.

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[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

What happens if the whole thing shifts out from under you, and suddenly there’s an extra 10 points against you? What happens is you lose almost everything.

You never lose "almost everything" because there are still tons of seats in redder states that Dems consider fully unassailable. Florida, Ohio, and Texas have such a large GOP advantage over such wide territory that they can't make every seat 7-pts even if they try.

From time to time, you get swept in a Blue Wave. And for 2-4 years, the Dems have a House majority built on an anti-Presidential turnout. But as soon as they win the Presidency (as in '08 and '20), the advantage evaporates and the GOP win back all those House seats.

And because the Democratic Party is so packed with corporate turncoats, corrupt shills, and wanna-be celebrities, the majority they secure during a wave year doesn't produce legislation to counter prior Republican majorities. Republicans can slow down liberal reforms on parliamentary procedure and just wait out the Dems until the next conservative wave, at which point the gerrymanders pay their dividend.

If you switch 20 points towards the Democrats across the board

Why stop at 20? Rub your genie lamp and wish bigger. What if Dems get UK Labour scale wins and pull in 400+ House seats in 2026?

It doesn't matter, if the majority the Dems assemble are bottled up with a conserva-Dem leadership, an intractable Senate, and veto-happy Presidency. All you get on these terms is another government shutdown. Exactly what happened in the 1980s under Tip O'Neil and 2018 under Pelosi.