For those electoral sickos out there who enjoy watching the game of politics, here are some interesting races to watch tonight. If there are others you'd like me to list or pay attention to, or corrections that need to be made, i'd be happy to oblidge.
PREDICTIONS ENCOURAGED!
updates:
- I'll be calling these races as AP News calls them.
- Percentages will be added in after 75% of votes are counted in a race.
7 p.m.
(all poll closing times eastern)
Atlanta Mayor:
- Dickens* -- 85.0% โ
99% counted | source
--
Virginia Governor: ๐ FLIP
-
Spanberger (D) -- 57.5% โ
-
~~Earle-Sears (R)~~ -- 42.3%
97% counted | source
--
Virginia Attorney General: Too CLOSE To Call
-
Jones (D) -- 53.1% โ
-
~~Miyares (R)~~* -- 46.5%
96% counted | source
7:30 p.m.
Cincinnati Mayor:
-
Pureval* -- 78.2% โ
-
~~Bowman~~ -- 21.8%
97% counted | source
8 p.m.
New Jersey Governor: ๐ FLIP
-
Sherrill (D) -- 56.0% โ
-
~~Ciattarelli (R)~~* -- 43.4%
94% counted | source
--
Jersey City Mayor:
Solomon and McGreevey advance to runoff election.
-
Solomon -- 29.0% โฉ
-
McGreevey -- 25.4% โฉ
-
~~O'Dea~~ -- 21.5%
-
~~Ali~~ -- 18.3%
92% counted | source
9 p.m.
New York City Mayor:
-
Mamdani (D) -- 50.4% Projected Winner โ
-
~~Cuomo (I)~~ -- 41.6%
-
~~Sliwa (R)~~ -- 7.2%
-
~~Adams (I)*~~ -- 0.3%
91% counted | source
--
Minneapolis Mayor:
Election will advance to ranked choice if no candidate is the first in majority of ballots.
- Frey (D)* -- 41.8% โฉ
- Omar Fateh (D) -- 31.7%
- Davis (D) -- 13.7%
- Hampton (D) -- 10.4%
98% counted | source
--
Colorado Proposition MM:
This ballot measure would raise taxes on people earning more than $300,000 to fund school meal programs and food assistance for people with lower incomes.
-
Yes -- 58.1% โ
-
No -- 41.9%
82% counted | source
11 p.m.
Seattle Mayor:
-
Harrell* -- 53.3%
-
Wilson -- 46.2%
Updated 11:50 p.m. | source
--
California Proposition 50:
This amendment would authorize new congressional district boundaries drawn by the Democratic-led state Legislature, beginning with the 2026 elections.
-
Yes -- 63.8% โ
-
No -- 36.2%
71% reported | source
I think the anti-electoralism hexbears were right, even though I pushed back on it. But they were too early. They were trying to strategize around a theoretical moment, based on history, rather than waiting for a current, practical moment like this. Here is the time to take all those happy people with renewed hope and build a party. It doesn't have to be a national party immediately. It can start with a neighborhood or town in NY. Get all these people into a party that is not the Democrats. This party should always be to the left of Mamdani on every issue but willing to offer critical support. They should work to replace him with someone who will push things further. By the next election you have a party and a candidate. You have a way to exert pressure on Mamdani if he turns heel.
The wrong move would be to treat this like the destination rather than part of the journey. Taking all this earned good will and just handing it over to Democrats or Mamdani himself will end badly. We need the Democrats to be weak and giving them all these hopeful voters would make them stronger. They were fine as a means to get to this point, but now is the moment you break. Now we can start doing real Lenin political calculus and talk about building a worker's party (or adapting one that already exists). Zohran being in office is no longer theoretical.
Before we were arguing over how the things he said would affect the election while also trying to say he should run for this or that party. All that's over now. We can just focus on getting a worker's party going on the momentum. There is no pressing election to worry about appealing to suburban racists or unwoke union workers. If you lose moderates right now it's not as dire and you can replace them with true believers by the next election.