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Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia
(en.wikipedia.org)
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This is not scientific and is going purely by my memory but I don't recall any small party getting the numbers the polls predicted. It's always lower. People say they are going to vote for smaller parties but when it comes to voting they go for labour or national.
@BalpeenHammer @SamC it's more noticeable with left wing small parties though? I notice it a lot with my boomer rellies.
It can happen but last time Greens did better than expected based on polls