this post was submitted on 19 May 2025
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WARSAW, Poland (AP) — Liberal Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski and a conservative historian, Karol Nawrocki, emerged as the front-runners in Poland’s presidential election Sunday, according to an exit poll, putting them on track to face off in a second round in two weeks.

A late exit poll by the Ipsos institute released three hours after polls closed showed Trzaskowski with an estimated 31.1 percent of the votes and Nawrocki with 29.1 percent. That suggested that the runoff on June 1 could be very tight. Official results are expected on Monday or Tuesday.

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[–] Zaktor@sopuli.xyz 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

A late exit poll by the Ipsos institute released three hours after polls closed showed Trzaskowski with an estimated 31.1 percent of the votes and Nawrocki with 29.1 percent. That suggested that the runoff on June 1 could be very tight. Official results are expected on Monday or Tuesday.

Not on its own it doesn't. It could indicate a blowout if the rest of the vote was for candidates more closely aligned with one or the other. Adam Schiff and Steve Garvey were separated by 0.1% in the CA jungle primary and no one thought "well, that means the head-to-head election might be close".

[–] axh@lemmy.world 1 points 18 hours ago

Well, the rest is split between conservatives (more than 20) and liberals (around 15), 5 in the center (Hołownia is a sort of conservative who supports liberal government)... so it's close enough.