this post was submitted on 30 Apr 2025
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Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich reiterates call for 'hundreds of thousands' of Palestinians to be forcibly displaced from Gaza

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[–] Keeponstalin@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I think the thinking was that turning against Israel more publicly would have mostly garnered more entirely worthless votes in states that are already blue and risked losing at risk rust belt states

That's just not true though. It would have helped across the board but especially in critical swing states

Here Are 34 Polls That Show A Ceasefire & Weapons Embargo Help Kamala Win

Kamala Would Have Won With A Weapons Embargo

The blame is entirely on the campaign for chosing to ignore and even go against those voters instead of make concessions to gain as much votes as possible. They chose to prioritize continuing the genocide over winning against Trump.

[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world -2 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

Polls have been close not only wildly inaccurate but so incredibly spread out that you could find a few to support literally anyone position after the fact.

[–] Keeponstalin@lemmy.world 4 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago) (1 children)
[–] michaelmrose@lemmy.world 1 points 2 hours ago

It is very very hard to predict who is going to win even when elections that aren't all that close. Asking people how they would behave especially people who didn't even bother to vote is fraught. People who aren't happy about something are apt to say they would do something about it but they showed more about how motivated they are by not even bothering to show up in actual reality. I think anyone who tells you if you did this they would have voted for you is quite frankly full of shit.

White people voted for Trump because they believed they would be privileged. Men voted for him because they believed they would be privileged. Conservatives voted for him because he would appoint conservative judges Financially ignorant people voted for him because he would cut their taxes and encourage business. Republican's voted for him because him being a Republican was far more important than any other factor. Most people who call themselves independent flatter themselves by saying so and in fact vote Red or Blue 95-99% of the time. Those who lean red were never going to vote for a non-white women running under the blue ticket.

None of these factors had anything to do with Israel or Gaza. People in America are selfish and self centered they were never going to vote differently based on Gaza.