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They are definitely going to take the wrong lesson from this.
Which 'they'?
The liberals.
You're not wrong, they still won't learn how to be more progressive. They just learned that sliding right a little here and there will win them even more voters, especially if the conservatives keep shooting themselves in the foot.
But that strategy is doomed to fail, eventually. It's the same strategy the democrats are employing in the US. They just lost to trump first.
With the numbers as they are? I doubt it. If the US becomes sane again the NDP will regain its seats and the Liberals must understand that.
The ability of center-left politicians to find a way to not-understand political environments cannot be overstated.