this post was submitted on 24 Apr 2025
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Andromeda is going to hit the Milky way, and it likely won't do anything to most earth-like planets because the densities of both (all) galaxies are so low.
Individual low odds things don't happen frequently, but collectively they happen a lot more often because there are so many low odds things with potential to happen.
The Holocene may only run 12,000 years - it looks like the Anthropocene is the most likely end for it, but life has been evolving on Earth for 3.5(ish) billion years, making the Holocene just 0.00034% of that period, 1/300,000th in round numbers.
Yes. This is why you shouldn't play the lottery even though you may see people win it fairly frequently. Most people lose, and the cost of anyone winning is higher than the payout. Similarly, the cost for preparing for some incredibly low odds events is higher than the likelihood it'll ever be useful.