this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2025
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[–] douglasg14b@lemmy.world 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

This is another one of those stupid feel-good statements where it feels good to say but completely hand waves away all the complexities of actually achieving this.

Never mind the massive financial barrier to get people to switch away from gas in the first place (which the majority of everyone is not going to be able to afford so how do you expect that to work?) where does this money come from?

But you now need to contend with electrical infrastructure changes to support that extra load. Where does this money come from?

Sure in theory this is a great idea I would love to switch to heat pumps as I'm sure many others would as well. However the cost is egregious ($30-50k). And unless it's supported with massive government subsidies (remember the US government just cut all subsidies for these sorts of things) then it's not going to happen because people just can't afford it.

It's not a "feel good statement", it's reality. Gas is terrible. It's responsible for a significant portion of climate change and gas stoves cause myriad health issues. This is basic stuff. Of course the transition isn't all sunshine and rainbows but electrification is far from some insurmountable ideal, and it can be quite cost effective.

The vast majority of HVAC equipment will be replaced on burnout, and when you do the economics of a new gas furnace (and almost certainly AC these days) vs an ASHP, it's simply not $30-50k extra. There are state and local incentives, the federal tax credits, utility incentives etc., but I agree the IRA programs are on thin ice (even though Biden awarded funds before leaving). I bought a high end cold climate heat pump for just a few grand more than my neighbor who bought a furnace/AC with similar operating costs. You can get a cheaper ASHP and furnace for something in between cost wise. My state has tripled cold climate heat pump incentives and they are now very competitive with gas systems. I work in the industry and live this every day, it's not some boondoggle, the grid updates necessary aren't as dramatic as headlines imply and are already well underway to support vehicle electrification and load growth/resiliency. The PNW is quite mild and people are willing to pay for AC anyway due to heat waves (and wildfire smoke), so going straight to heat pumps is a very cost effective solution. Folks are cancelling gas service left and right and the remaining users will be left with rising fixed costs. Plus as I led with, gas is terrible for your family and the climate (and locally where the wells are).