this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2025
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Ukraine
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Ukraine has been building out their drone production heavily. It's easy to disperse and doesn't require large facilities that can be destroyed. (A few guys in a garage with a 3d printer and a steady parts supply can pump those suckers out.) And with US, UK, and French authorization to hit targets inside Russia, Russia's air defense is stretched extra thin. Furthermore, Russia has not kept pace with new construction of equipment, things blow up and just aren't replaced.
I only see this pace increasing, Russia has lost the ability to defend their airspace.