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[-] ech@lemm.ee -2 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Obviously even 1 extreme outlier can skew things, but that's not the case here.

In the terms of your analogy, this is about 3 people out of 20 pedaling a (weirdly long) bike and steered by all of them (somehow). Would you say that group of 3 are driving? Or would you concede it's the two groups of 6 that are mostly driving the bike?

[-] Wogi@lemmy.world 5 points 2 weeks ago

What happens when those three pedal the other direction?

It's stats, it's a descriptive term. It just literally doesn't mean what you're saying it means.

A driver in stats is just an item or a group that has a significant impact on the final result. What that means is going to vary from study to study.

Anyway, you can hold on to your belief about what a driver is, you are factually incorrect, and you were also kind of an asshole to the other guy. I'm out.

[-] ech@lemm.ee -1 points 2 weeks ago

I've already agreed that situations vary. My point has always been about this study, not others. In this situation, the 15-20% of births in teens was not "the traditional driver of USA birth rates" (paraphrasing).

As for the other person, they were being an asshole for repeatedly attempting to use their own misunderstanding to delegitimize my point instead of taking even a moment to consider my words wholly. Pardon me for not having a surplus of patience to endure that today.

[-] ltxrtquq@lemmy.ml 1 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

“Driven” suggest more than half of total pregnancies,

Less than 20% of a total is “significant”?

The amount the percentage represents is irrelevant. A billion people could be involved, but if the total is 7 billion, it’s not going to be a significant part of the total trend.

In the terms of your analogy, this is about 3 people out of 20 pedaling a (weirdly long) bike and steered by all of them (somehow). Would you say that group of 3 are driving? Or would you concede it’s the two groups of 6 that are mostly driving the bike?

Your "words wholly" includes more than whatever you think it does.

My point has always been about this study

Has it? I think you're far less clear and careful with your words than you think you are. You've been arguing from the start that less than half of something isn't and can't be significant. We aren't even discussing the text in this study that you can read in the screenshot:

More than half the drop of America's total fertility rate is explained by women under the age of 19 now having next to no children.

What you're saying now about “the traditional driver of USA birth rates” isn't reflected in your other comments.

[-] ltxrtquq@lemmy.ml 4 points 2 weeks ago

Your numbers are all over the place and don't really make sense for what you're talking about. 3 plus two groups of 6 would only be 15 out of 20, so where did the other 5 people go?

But more to the point, if those 3 stop pedaling, or pedal harder than everyone else combined, or apply the brakes, or tip the bike over, any number of other things they could absolutely change the speed/direction of the bike.

this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2024
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