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First Minister Eluned Morgan on course to lose her seat in upcoming Senedd Election - ITV Wales poll (www.itv.com)

submitted 1 week ago by ladel@feddit.uk to c/cymru@feddit.uk

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With just over six weeks until the election, YouGov poll for ITV Wales in partnership with Cardiff University - the largest so far - has applied the latest MRP modelling to offer a predicted breakdown of how many seats each party will win in each of the 16 new constituencies

An increase for Labour puts them third on 13% and resulting in 12 seats, meaning Eluned Morgan’s party would not elect anyone in four constituencies, including her own in Ceredgion Penfro.

*Includes neat map at the bottom of article to check the poll's vote share/seat projections in each constituency

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