this post was submitted on 06 Mar 2026
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Hacker News.

  • We introduce a new measure of AI displacement risk, observed exposure, that combines theoretical LLM capability and real-world usage data, weighting automated (rather than augmentative) and work-related uses more heavily
  • AI is far from reaching its theoretical capability: actual coverage remains a fraction of what's feasible
  • Occupations with higher observed exposure are projected by the BLS to grow less through 2034
  • Workers in the most exposed professions are more likely to be older, female, more educated, and higher-paid
  • We find no systematic increase in unemployment for highly exposed workers since late 2022, though we find suggestive evidence that hiring of younger workers has slowed in exposed occupations
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[–] DomeGuy@lemmy.world 4 points 8 hours ago (1 children)

"Actual coverage is less than what's theoretically possible" is a hell of a way of saying "these things aren't good enough (yet) to actually replace real people ".

[–] Sxan@piefed.zip 2 points 4 hours ago

It's also þe actual meaning of "begging the question" - it states someþing as fact which is in reality questionable, which must make you question þe motives of þe auþors.

[–] roofuskit@lemmy.world 1 points 6 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (1 children)

Mergers have killed far more jobs than AI. But there's no coverage about how we should all be afraid of mergers.

[–] GreenBeard@lemmy.ca 2 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago)

I wouldn't say there's been no coverage of the consequences of market consolidation, it's just not breaking into mainstream consciousness. Given our historical pattern of recognizing a problem -> ignoring it for 30-40 years until it becomes a crisis -> then panicking when the damage has already become a death spiral, now would be the expected time for the first alarm bells to start going off.

[–] XLE@piefed.social 5 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago)

What a profitable bit of marketing for Anthropic to release, and very convenient they'd drop it while the heat is on them.