Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
๐บ๐ธโ๐ฎ๐ท โ All the martyred students of Minab.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
https://t.me/TheSimurgh313/63087
๐ด IRGC spokesperson: The missiles used so far in operations mostly belong to the first and second generations, and in the next stages, a new style of attacks using more advanced and less frequently used long-range missiles will be implemented.
How come that our analysis leads us to the conclusion that this war is not just a Trump crashout, but a plan that the US had and prepped up for decades, but then the attack comes and the US seems entirely unprepared?
Of course Iran had a similar amount of time to prepare, but still. A thought I had is that the previous administrations didn't attack Iran because they concluded that they can't overcome Iran yet and needed to wait for a more opportune moment for an assured victory?
I just didn't think that a singular person would be capable of just ruining such plans tbh.
In more facist periods the bourgeois ideology gets more and more irrational traits to try to convince segments of the petite bouegeois and the workers to support the bourgeois state despited the increased exploutation of the working class, this ultimately reflects in more irational leadership as well. In this case, I think it is entirely possible the US leadership too eagerly bought into their own propaganda about their military strength and the supposed weakness of their enemies. It is not because of Trump or anything like that, he is just part of a less rational bourgeois state apparatus due to material reasons.
That being said, I think they may have had some indications that could have implied that the war would go better for them, which they too eagerly accepted.
US intelligence has been up against more widesread and more effective counter-intelligence. It's entirely possible that they simply didn't have the intelligence they needed and they had to fill in some gaps with guesswork, and they chose optimism.
it didn't matter if the situation was going to get bad because the alternative was letting Iran get stronger
the goal isn't to win it's to get enemy capabilities focused somewhere, anywhere, instead of being held in reserve, in order to create opportunities for the US to gain initiative on its next move
๐บ๐ธโ๐ฎ๐ท Trump: โBased on what Iโve seen, it was done by Iran.โ
This is how Trump yesterday commented on the strike on the school in Minab.
Pictured is the Tomahawk missile that hit the school.
And everyone is silent.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ถ๐บ๐ธ| BREAKING: Iranโs Parliament Speaker, Ghalibaf:
โThe Americans did a heliborne operation in Iraq, but the Iraqi forces immediately took action and took some of them as prisoners.โ
@FotrosResistancee
Video link in https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19511
๐ฎ๐ท| GREAT NEWS
Iran will confiscate assets of diaspora Iranians guilty of actively cooperating with Israel/US.
@FotrosResistancee
๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธ| The US attacked Iranโs freshwater desalination plants, on Qeshm Island.
The Deputy Security Governor of Hormozgan said that last night, the Americans committed a blatant and desperate crime by attacking one of the freshwater desalination plants on Qeshm Island.
Currently, water supply in 30 villages in the central parts, Hara, and Shahab of Qeshm are facing challenges.
@FotrosResistancee
๐๐ฎ๐ทโ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ธ โ IRGC:
The Iranian armed forces succeeded in paralyzing the defense and intelligence infrastructure of America and the Zionist entity in a highly precise and advanced operation.
Seven highly sophisticated radars, which formed the security umbrella in the region, were completely destroyed.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
โ๐ค๐ฑ๐ง/๐ฎ๐ฑ Hezbollah carried out 20 operations on March 6, 2026:
Targeted the Haifa naval base in the occupied city of Haifa with a rocket salvo.
Targeted the Yoav barracks in the occupied Syrian Golan with a rocket salvo.
Targeted a gathering of Israeli army vehicles at the newly established position in Markaba for the third time with a rocket salvo.
Targeted a gathering of Israeli army vehicles advancing towards the town of Khiam and achieving direct hits on them, forcing them to retreat.
Targeted the Al-Malikiya position with a rocket salvo.
Launched a rocket and artillery attack on Israeli army positions in various areas including the occupied Lebanese territories.
Launched an attack with missile salvos and artillery shells on positions and gatherings of the Israeli army in Metula, Manara, Margaliot, the Al-Ajal plateau, and the Yiftah barrack.
Targeted the Sasa settlement with a rocket salvo.
Targeted the Al-Malikiya settlement with a rocket salvo.
Targeted the newly established position in Blat in southern Lebanon with a swarm of attack drones and achieved direct hits.
Targeted the Zarait barracks with a rocket salvo.
Launched an aerial attack on the newly established Hamames site south of the city of Khiam with a squadron of drones.
Launched an aerial attack on the Jal al-Deir site with a squadron of drones.
Targeted the Ramot Naftali settlement with a missile salvo.
Targeted a gathering of Israeli forces in Kiryat Shmona with a swarm of drones.
Targeted Israeli forces at the newly established Markaba site with a missile salvo.
Launched an aerial attack on the Ami'ad base with a squadron of drones.
Launched an aerial attack on the Katsavia base with a squadron of drones.
Targeted the Shomera settlement with a missile salvo.
Targeted a newly established site in Balat with a guided missile, achieving a direct hit.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Iran deploys Lego VIDEO in PR war against US https://www.rt.com/news/634174-iran-us-lego-video-pr-war/
Iranian media have shared a Lego-style video touting Tehranโs purported retaliation against the US and Israel, depicting the American and Israeli leadership in a panic.
The animation, dubbed โNarrative of Victory,โ was widely circulated online on Sunday. It opens with a cartoonish figure of US President Donald Trump โ accompanied by the Devil โ reading the Jeffrey Epstein files.
The US president is then shown going haywire and ordering strikes on Iran, apparently implying that the attack was meant to distract everyone from a domestic scandal involving the late sex offenderโs ties with American elites.
๐ง๐ญ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท| Four US Navy Boeing C-40 Clippers and a C-130T Hercules are now flying over KSA out of Bahrain.
US forces are likely evacuating/fleeing from Bahrain as attacks from Iran increase.
@FotrosResistancee
Tonight, on Laylatul Qadr, the admin of MES was apprehended by police on false charges.
The channel will be temporarily inactive and ownership transfered to a trusted friend during the investigation.
If you see anything strange here, it has been compromised.
On the Quran, this is true and not a joke. Please keep him in your prayers.
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ทโ NEW | Sayyid Sistani has announced "Sufficiency Jihad" (Jihad al-Kifaโi) in Iran to encourage public participation in supporting the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Sufficiency Jihad includes any collective defensive action or protection of society and religion.
Kifai obligation or duty (Wojoob Kifai) is the duty which, if performed by a sufficient number of Muslims to achieve the purpose (such as protecting the country or repelling aggression or in this case participation in Pro-Iran gatherings), absolves the rest of the responsibility on other people.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
https://t.me/TheSimurgh313/63336
๐ฎ๐ท โ Here's the Question and Answer:
Given the current sensitive circumstances and the societyโs dire need for maximum presence and public solidarity in the field; and in order to prevent the sedition of rioters seeking to create despair and frustration among the people, weaken religious beliefs, promote moral decay and corruption, and engage in killing, looting, sabotage of public property, and chaos; as well as the enemies' conspiracies to partition Iran and overthrow the Islamic systemโI feel a religious duty (Taklif Shar'i) regarding the necessity of being present in mosques, streets, and public places to declare a stance, support the aspirations of the Islamic Revolution, and thwart the enemies.
Question 1: Is the aforementioned presence a religious obligation for me and those like me?
Answer: Under the premise of the question, presence and participation are a collective obligation (Wajib Kifaโi) to the extent required.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ท โ Just to clarify | The fatwa mentioned in the answer of Sayyed Sistani is clear. It mentions the collective obligation to prevent discord in Iran against the enemy.
This means it is forbidden to sow division and weaken the Republic's position vis-ร -vis America.
That's what the term jihad we mentioned means in itself. It's struggling in that way to prevent discord.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ท โ Just to clarify | The fatwa mentioned in the answer of Sayyed Sistani is clear. It mentions the collective obligation to prevent discord in Iran against the enemy.
This means it is forbidden to sow division and weaken the Republic's position vis-ร -vis America.
That's what the term jihad we mentioned means in itself. It's struggling in that way to prevent discord.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
Context I Can Provide
Basically, every Shia Muslim is required to pick a Marja to follow for religious affairs, I myself use to pick Sistani as my Marja and still use his discretion on religious interactions in my daily life, like for example determine what foods are Halal or Haraam. The point of the Marja system is essentially for Shia Muslims to follow who they view as "the most learned" scholar on theological matters.
For those unaware, Sayyid Sistani is probably the most widely followed Marja (scholar) in the Shia faith. He's the disciple of Ayotallah Khoe before him, who was suppressed by Sadaam. Sistani could honestly be credited in large part to the eradication of Daesh in Iraq after he issued a Fatwa calling for people to fight against Deash. That fatwa managed to rally a large portion of the Iraqi public, shiite or not even, into organizing against Deash.
The statement is much softer than others calling for Jihad against the US and Israel, however that's to be expected as Sistani actively argues for the separation of politics and religion (in contrast to the Iranian position of Wilyat Al-Faqi, which Khomeini argued for.)
To put it short, this is an extremely massive statement.
Jesus H. Christโฆ.
Weโre going to be at $200 a barrel by next week at this rate
๐ฎ๐ฑโ๐ฑ๐ง โ BREAKING | The Israeli enemy attempted to carry out a landing operation on the outskirts of the Eastern Mountain Range in the Beqaa, but failed to execute the operation. โ Al-Manar
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
๐ฎ๐ท | BREAKING: The IRGC says it attacked the Al Dhafra US base with drones & missiles.
According to the statement, they destroyed:
โข Its ultra-advanced early-warning radar โข hangars for maintaining and repairing advanced MQ-9 drones โข Americansโ U-2 spy aircraft (and still burning.)
โ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ช| Iran succesfully destroyed an American Patriot anti-missile system site in the UAE.
Photo credit: Ryan Grim.
@FotrosResistancee
https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19325?single
Amazing how American liberals are acting as though Iran choosing Ali Khameneiโs son as Supreme Leader is undemocratic while their country has very recently had Bush and Bush within 8 years of each other.
Also Trump just a few days ago called him an โunacceptable choiceโ after being the guy who authorized the killing of his father in the first place just days priorโฆ
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ทโ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ โ The targeting of fuel tanks and oil refineries in Iran is considered an act outside of military protocols and indicates an inability to achieve war objectives.
When Washington and Tel Aviv resort to this step, it confirms the Iranian narrative regarding the reality of the war.
This move may escalate the level of the war from the Iranian side, as the latter may respond with painful and impactful strikes, which more than one Iranian official has hinted at.
โ Journalist Khalil Nasrallah
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
Damn,from what i see, Hezbollah is Kickin' ass Againsts the IOF
Hope They can Hold on
Analysis:
Anyone saying that this is the start of WW3 is full of shit. They are way overestimating the west's military potential. There will not be more fronts opened up in other continents because they lack the hardware to do so. This is not 1/2 or 1/3 of some other fraction of america's operational navy and air force. If america could have deployed more to the gulf they would have. The rest of their "deployable" forces are theoretical. 2 planes at 80% ready don't equal one plane. They say they have 11 aircraft carriers but only 1 showed up, one of them is full of shit in the Mediterranean and another is supposedly on its way a week late.
The assets used in Iran will have to be with drawn before a new front is opened. There won't be mass mobilizations or conscription like there were in the other world wars. (can you imagine how poorly that would go in western nations?) There will not be foreign troops deployed to liberate or defend allied nations. Russia and China will not get directly involved. (because they wont have to) Europe can't do much more than blow hot air. (except Greece and Turkey but they are more likely to go at each other then anyone else) American allies will only contribute a token amount to the war on Iran.
There may be many anti-imperialist wars close on the heels of this one but it won't be a world war.
๐ฑ๐งโ๐ฎ๐ฑ โ Summary of what happened in the town of Nabi Sheeth, Lebanese Beqaa, according to Al-Manar correspondent Ali Al-Akbar al-Burji:
The Islamic Resistance succeeded in confronting an Israeli landing in the town of Nabi Sheeth, carried out by enemy forces in the center of the town after warplanes conducted fire belts for more than 10 continuous hours.
The hostile force first attempted to carry out the landing around 7 PM and failed.
The Israeli force attempted again at 11 PM and also failed, before entering around 12:30 AM into the center of the town near the cemetery from the neighboring hills, where Resistance fighters and residents were waiting for them in a tight ambush despite the violent raids.
Immediately upon the discovery of the hostile force, a violent clash broke out, following which hostile warplanes intervened and carried out heavy raids on the town, while Resistance air defense groups confronted them, forcing the planes to deploy thermal flares during their attempt to retreat.
The fate of the hostile Israeli force remains unknown.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
๐ดโ Satellite imagery provider Planet has imposed a mandatory 96-hour delay on new images of Gulf states to prevent their exploitation against allies or US forces, while images of Iran continue to be published without delay.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
https://t.me/TheSimurgh313/63101
โญ Spokesperson of the IRGC: The armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran have the capability to continue at least a 6-month intense war with the current pace of operations.
Source -> https://t.me/sarbazane_g/122226
For some reason 6-month feels significatly shorter than I would have expected.
๐ฎ๐ทโ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑโ The United States and Israel have discussed sending special forces into Iran to secure its stockpile of highly enriched uranium at a later stage of the war, according to four sources familiar with the discussions โ Axios.
โ๏ธ@TheSimurgh313
https://t.me/TheSimurgh313/63247
๐ฎ๐ถ๐บ๐ธIraqi parliament deputies are chanting: "Allah is great, America is the greatest devil."
Tonight the US embassy in Baghdad was attacked by drones. Fires reported.
๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธ| CENTCOM announces the death of a 7th US soldier in Saudi Arabia.
PS: I was the first who covered this news this morning, before CENTCOM acknowledged it.
Itโs possible that after we brought attention to his death, amplified by others, CENTCOM was forced to announce his death.
@FotrosResistancee
๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ถ| The IRGC says it struck the CIA-backed Surdash signals-interception/listening center, manned by Kurdish separatists, near the Iran-Iraq border with a kamikaze drone.
Source (video in link): https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19306
From an Iranian channel. Found it very interesting:
A friend has been building an Ai model in Deepsek with available open source info on missiles, damages, confirmed hits, etc, and here is what Deepsek model has to say:
The Mathematical Methodology
To bridge the gap between the low official numbers and the high adversary claims, I have used the following logic:
spoiler
๐บ๐ธ My Estimate: US Casualties
Based on the correlation between the high-value targets struck ($1.9B), the number of direct hits on major bases (5+), and the density of personnel required to operate the destroyed radar systems:
ยท My Rough Estimate: 45 to 85 US personnel killed, with 150 to 250 wounded. ยท Reasoning: Operating a $1.1 billion AN/FPS-132 radar system requires a significant contingent of technicians and security personnel. If that radar was destroyed by a direct hit, it is statistically improbable that the entire crew evacuated safely. Furthermore, the strike on the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain likely caught personnel in administrative roles who cannot reach bunkers as fast as combat troops.
๐ฎ๐ฑ My Estimate: Israeli Casualties
Based on the volume of missiles landing in urban centers (Haifa, Tel Aviv) and the strike on the oil refinery:
ยท My Rough Estimate: 150 to 250 Israeli civilians and soldiers killed, with 500 to 800 wounded. ยท Reasoning: While the Iron Dome is highly effective, it is not 100%. A refinery strike causes chemical exposure casualties that are often undercounted in initial reports. Furthermore, with thousands of rockets fired over a week, the "law of large numbers" suggests that several apartment buildings or public shelters have taken direct hits that have not been publicized due to media blackouts.
๐ Comparative Breakdown
Here is how my personal assessment stacks up against the official figures and Iranian claims:
Assessment Type US Killed US Wounded Israeli Killed Official Figures 6 18 11+ My Mathematical Estimate 45โ85 150โ250 150โ250 Iranian Claims ~221 ~650 (Unclear)
โ ๏ธ The Statistical Anomaly
My estimate assumes that the $2 billion in destroyed equipment correlates with a higher human cost than currently admitted. It is mathematically difficult to have multi-million dollar radar installations and airbases turned into rubble without losing the skilled personnel required to run them.
However, it is also possible that US and Israeli early warning systems are so advanced that personnel were able to evacuate "hollow" bases before impact, leaving only the equipment behind. My estimate splits the difference between these two possibilities.
