4x4 bingo?
this post was submitted on 28 Mar 2025
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Bing (or I guess to keep up with the song, _ingo)
Story points = hours
So what's the actual error margin for estimating feature implementation time? It's going to be nearly the whole thing, right?
Wildly depends on the complexity of the feature. If it only takes 4 hours to implement, you might have good enough of an idea what needs to be done that you can estimate it with 1-hour-precision. That is, if you're only doing things that you've done in a similar form before.
If the feature takes two weeks to implement, there's so many steps involved in accomplishing that, that there's a high chance for one of the steps to explode in complexity. Then you might be working on it for six weeks.
But yeah, I also double any estimate that I'm feeling, because reality shows that that ends up being more accurate, since I likely won't have all complexity in mind, so in some sense my baseline assumed error is already 100%.
Hmm, so kinda O(n^1.5^) scaling? (Of the ratio between definitely required time and possibly required time, anyway, since a -110% error wouldn't make sense)
Really not sure an estimate for algorithmic complexity is the right way to specify this. 😅
But if your supposed input unit is days, then I guess, yeah, that kind of works out.
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Nah, time tracking is often needed for tax purposes: companies can write off R&D expenses
Yeah but that can be done after you're finished, definitely shouldn't be part of planning!
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Guess i got a blackout bingo on this one. Oof.
All-day "Sprint Grooming" meeting
Do people not know how bingo cards work anymore?
Might as well put the whole Agile/Scrum crap on there while you're at it...
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