this post was submitted on 08 Dec 2024
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Image is of Assad and his family.


After less than two weeks of retreating with few shots fired and little resistance, the SAA has retreated into, well, a state of non-existence. This thereby ends a conflict that has been simmering for over a decade. With the end of this conflict, another begins: the carving up of what used to be Syria between Israel and Turkey, with perhaps the odd Syrian faction getting a rump state here and there. Both Israel and Turkey have begun military operations, with Israel working on expanding their territory in Syria and bombing military bases to ensure as little resistance as possible.

Israeli success in Syria is interesting to contrast against their failures in Gaza and Lebanon. A short time ago, Israel failed to make significant territorial progress in Lebanon due to Hezbollah's resistance despite the heavy hits they had recently taken, and was forced into a ceasefire with little to show for the manpower and equipment lost and the settlers displaced. The war with Lebanon was fast, but still slow enough to allow a degree of analysis and prediction. In contrast, the sheer speed of Syria's collapse has made analysis near-impossible beyond obvious statements like "this is bad" and "Assad is fucking up"; by the time a major Syrian city had fallen, you barely had time to digest the implications before the next one was under threat.

There is still too much that we don't know about the potential responses (and non-responses) of other countries in the region - Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, and Russia, for example. I think that this week and the next will see a lot of statements made by various parties and an elucidation of how the conflict will progress. The only thing that seems clear is that we are in the next stage of the conflict, and perhaps have been, in retrospect, since Nasrallah's assassination. This stage has been and will be far more chaotic as the damage to Israel compounds and they are willing to take greater and greater risks to stay in power. It will also involve Israel causing destruction all throughout the region, rather than mostly localizing it in Gaza and southern Lebanon. Successful gambles like with Syria may or may not outweigh the unsuccessful ones like with Lebanon. This is a similar road to the one apartheid South Africa took, but there are also too many differences to say if the destination will be the same.

What is certain is that Assad's time in power can be summarized as a failure, both to be an effective leader and to create positive economic conditions. His policies were actively harmful to internal stability for no real payoff and by the end, all goodwill had been fully depleted. By the end, the SAA did not fight back; not because of some wunderwaffen on the side of HST, but because there was nothing to fight for, and internal cohesion rapidly disintegrated.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Update: Lula wakes up and is conscious after surgery Lula was taken to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) after surgery and, according to sources close to him, has been alternating moments of sleep and wakefulness.

Lula will be hospitalized for 'a few days' after surgery, says Paulo Pimenta. “The president is hospitalized, he will remain hospitalized for a few more days, but he is absolutely stable, under control,” said the minister.

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be hospitalized for “a few more days” at the Sírio-Libanês Hospital, where he underwent surgery in the early hours of Tuesday morning to drain a hematoma on his skull, said Paulo Pimenta, minister of the Presidency's Social Communication Secretariat, in a video published on his Instagram account. “The procedure went absolutely normally, according to plan. The president is hospitalized, will remain hospitalized for a few more days, but is absolutely stable, under control,” said Pimenta in the video.

Vice-President Geraldo Alckmin takes over the presidency temporarily and receives the Prime Minister of Slovakia and fulfills government commitments during Lula's recovery. Alckmin was assigned to fulfill official commitments that had already been scheduled, including a reception for the Prime Minister of Slovakia, Robert Fico. The meeting was scheduled to take place this Tuesday in Brasilia.

In addition, Alckmin had a series of appointments in São Paulo, where he was already scheduled to attend the Apex Brasil Awards ceremony on Monday night. He was also due to take part in investment announcements at Latam's maintenance shed in São Carlos, scheduled for Tuesday morning.

The doctors said that the risk is zero, and that even though this type of bleeding is rare, it's not uncommon. Lula is due to return to work next week. He has already had lunch and talked to his family.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 9 months ago

Documentary on Israeli Occupation Crimes is Up for an Oscar - Telesur English

Article

‘No Other Land’ was co-directed by Palestinian Basel Adra and Israeli Yuval Abraham. Five years of recording Israeli aggression and occupation in a Palestinian community in the occupied West Bank form the foundation of a multi-award-winning documentary that is now looking to the Oscars. Its creators hope international recognition can help push for change in Palestine.

Palestinian Basel Adra and Israeli Yuval Abraham are the directors of No Other Land, a story that chronicles the impunity of Israeli military crimes against Palestinian villages in Masafer Yatta, located south of Hebron. The film depicts bulldozers demolishing schools and homes, settlers cutting water pipelines, and soldiers threatening and shooting at those defending their land.

This community began documenting Israeli aggression more than twenty years ago, back when Adra was just a child. As he took on the role behind the camera, the documentation became more consistent, with a clearer intent to expose the reality in real-time. “Back then, I had a lot of faith in the work we were doing—documenting and publishing—and I believed that once it went viral, things would change. That people would act, that governments wouldn’t stay silent,” Adra recalls.

However, over time, global inaction has eroded Adra’s hope and enthusiasm. He is now convinced that “the West does not want the genocide in Gaza or the occupation in the West Bank to end.” “Social media is full of videos of Israeli soldiers filming themselves committing crimes. No one is doing anything, no one pays the price for these crimes, there are no consequences,” he states.

“I’ll be honest: it’s very hard to find hope. We’re living through very dark times,” the Palestinian summarizes, though he remains convinced that “there are many things that could be done to stop this, to force a ceasefire, and to end the occupation.”

The lack of international response and the resulting despair have not stopped them from documenting and exposing the situation. “It’s very hard to simply decide to stop,” Adra says, aware of the importance of standing by his community and recognizing that it might be the only contribution people like him, who lack “real power,” can make to try to change things. “If change happens, it won’t be because of a film or a single person. It will come from a collective effort,” Abraham admits. “That’s why we keep fighting—because we believe that one day we will see change. And I hope I live to see it,” he adds.

However, both directors acknowledge that real change requires a shift in Western foreign policy. “Unfortunately, the people who have power are not willing to use it to stop what is happening,” Adra laments. “If there isn’t a significant shift in Europe’s and the United States’ foreign policy, there won’t be any internal change in Israel,” Abraham concludes.

“There’s no interest in finding a solution,” the Palestinian continues, arguing that “there are steps that could be taken, such as recognizing the Palestinian state.” Spain and other European countries recently made this recognition—a small but potentially meaningful step if followed by others. Abraham suggests additional measures, such as sanctioning settlements, something that would create real pressure. “If [Israelis] don’t pay a price for continuing the occupation, the likelihood of change is low,” he asserts.

No Other Land, recently awarded Best Documentary at the European Film Awards and a winner at the 74th Berlinale, is a film that does not shy away from activism, addressing a reality it describes as “so unjust and asymmetrical.” “The main reason for making this film was to shed light on this community, and I think the recognition the film is receiving is a way to give the community the platform it truly deserves,” Abraham notes.

The documentary is among the frontrunners for an Oscar nomination and is a strong contender for the coveted award. Such recognition would allow the directors to achieve another goal: reaching the widest possible audience and exerting international pressure. “I hope that by watching No Other Land, there will be some kind of push, some kind of energy in the world that eventually leads to change and international pressure,” expresses the Israeli director.

[–] NinjaGinga@hexbear.net 44 points 10 months ago (8 children)

The person of interest has been ID'd as a Luigi Mangione (sorry for non-archive link, follow at your own discretion). luigi-dance https://abcnews.go.com/US/unitedhealthcare-ceo-shooting-latest-net-closing-suspect-new/story

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[–] Praxagora@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago (3 children)

Bummer plot twist, could do with a bit more originality, same ole' "The Swerve" storyline from the writers once again ngl but phew. Every time a new headline dropped, his basedness went up like 10 notches, and I felt like I was starting to question my sexuality again. But now that he might be a reactionary goober, balance has been restored to the world. The hero flew a little too close to the chud sun, but the idea’s still there for me to hyperfixate on—and honestly, ideas can be so gay.

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[–] infuziSporg@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago (8 children)

One obvious part of the Syrian government's collapse, to anyone with half a brain, is that it was not domestic rebels doing it on their own. An organization chased out of 95% of the country does not just suddenly overthrow the state without weapons and troops and intel from at least one larger country and regional or great power.

A slightly less obvious takeaway is that, contrary to the perennial allegations that "they slaughtered their own people and wrecked their country", all the constituents of the dominant alliance decided that it was not worth it to make the civil war drag on*. Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, and finally the SAA itself all decided that rather than destroying more land and lives, it was more worthwhile to cut losses and retreat. It really doesn't fit the picture if "brutal dictator and his foreign allies" to have chosen to turn over the country rather than to sacrifice more of it.

*Or at least, not this iteration of the civil war. No one can say what the next 5-10 years will look like.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 43 points 9 months ago (3 children)

General Braga Netto, Bolsonaro’s former VP running mate, was arrested by Brazil’s Federal Police.

Accused of obstruction of justice, he pressured whistleblower Mauro Cid, Bolsonaro’s aide, for privileged testimony details. He’s the 1st four-star general ever arrested in Brazil’s history. The charges include criminal conspiracy, attempting to overthrow democratic rule, and threatening a constituted authority.

If found guilty, Braga Netto could face up to 33 years in prison. He’s currently detained at the Eastern Military Command headquarters, where he once held a senior post. In a historical twist, the first arrest of a four-star general in Brazil coincides with the birthday of Dilma Rousseff, former guerrilla fighter, former President of Brazil, current President of the BRICS Bank, and a survivor of the 1964 Military Dictatorship.

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[–] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 43 points 9 months ago (5 children)

Some news and combat footage for today from Russia’s special military operation.

Russian forces reached the city center of the Donetsk People’s Republic city of Kurakhovo and raised the national flag: https://southfront.press/russian-flag-waving-in-center-of-kurakhovo/

Anti-fascist partisans conducted an IED strike killing a Kiev regime military conscription officer in Dnepropetrovsk (18+ video): https://southfront.press/ukrainian-mobilisation-officers-fell-victims-of-ied-attack-in-dnipro/

Russian air defenses shot down a Kiev regime Su-25 (plus other news and combat footage, some 18+): https://southfront.press/no-good-news-for-kyiv-kurakhovo-is-on-brink-of-collapse-and-even-more/

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[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago (4 children)

So what happened with that airplane supposedly shot down over Homs? We got info from FlightRadar but no videos or photos of the wreck? That usually comes out real quick.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago (8 children)

Luigi Mangione, 26, from Baltimore County, Maryland, was apparently apprehended at a Pennsylvania McDonalds on Monday. Mangione went to Gilman, a private all-boys Catholic high school in Baltimore, and then studied at University of Pennsylvania, where he acquired a master of science in engineering degree and a bachelor of science in engineering degree in computer science.

Luigi Mangione’s cover photo featuring a Pokemon, an X-ray photo of his back with four spikes in the pelvis area, and a photo of him shirtless in the mountains His X account is rife with mostly right-leaning, slightly nihilistic, tech bro-y takes concerning AI, mental health, altruism, ancient history, and society in general. Mangione follows Ezra Klein, Sam Altman, AOC, Edward Snowden, and Robert F. Kennedy, among others.

lol

In April, he posted that “modern Japanese urban environment is an evolutionary mismatch for the human animal. The solution to falling birthdates isn’t immigration. It’s cultural.” He reshared another video from June of Republican megadonor Peter Thiel talking about people with Asperger’s running start-ups. He reposted a pseudo-motivational quote, “Netflix, door dash, and true crime podcasts have stolen more dreams than failure ever will.” And he reposted several messages railing against “wokeism.”

Luigi Mangione reposted: Gurwinder: Wokeism needs racism to exist, so it's always looking to pathologize new things as racist, including, now, attempts to start conversation by asking where you're from. If wokeism teaches minorities to be traumatized even by friendly gestures, it cannot claim to bridge divides. Screenshot of Uju Anya: No matter how sweetly you ask it, "Where are you from?" is not a polite question.

His Goodreads is also of interest. He reviewed the Unabomber’s book, writing that “when all other forms of communication fail, violence is necessary to survive. You may not like his methods, but to see things from his perspective, it’s not terrorism, it’s war and revolution. Fossil fuel companies actively suppress anything that stands in their way and within a generation or two, it will begin costing human lives by greater and greater magnitudes until the earth is just a flaming ball orbiting third from the sun.”

Mangione was also allegedly found with a written manifesto criticizing health care companies and weapons similar to the CEO shooter’s. He has yet to be charged.

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[–] WilsonWilson@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago

Israel’s Kann is reporting that the IDF is considering carrying out a significant attack on Yemen focusing on the Houthis

This is making the rounds on twitter but I can't find it at KANN. Ansar Allah will be USA's Hanukkah gift to Isn'trael.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago

Police Raid South Korean President’s Office Amid Martial Law Investigation - Telesur English

Article

This impasse lasted for more than three hours, reflecting not only the tension between institutions but also the complexity of the current political context.

On Wednesday, the South Korean police were engaged in a prolonged confrontation with agents of the Presidential Security Service while attempting to carry out a raid on the president’s office. This action is part of a broader investigation into Yoon’s recent declaration of martial law, which was revoked by the National Assembly within hours of its implementation.

According to reports from the Yonhap news agency, police officers attempted to access the presidential office at 11:50 local time but encountered strong resistance from security personnel, who argued that access should be prevented for security reasons. This impasse lasted for more than three hours, reflecting not only the tension between institutions but also the complexity of the current political context.

The investigation against Yoon Suk-yeol includes serious allegations, including insurrection, which adds a critical dimension to the situation. The declaration of martial law, although brief, has generated intense debate about the use of executive power and civil liberties in the country. Early in the morning, police conducted raids on several agencies, including the National Police Agency and the Seoul Metropolitan Police.

This suggests that authorities are looking to establish a wider network of accountability and transparency around the president’s decisions. This episode highlights the inherent tensions in the South Korean political system, where institutions must balance national security with accountability.

[–] Parzivus@hexbear.net 42 points 10 months ago
[–] parande@lemmy.ml 42 points 10 months ago (4 children)

has anyone posted this yet

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[–] SoyViking@hexbear.net 42 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Record Numbers Seek Christmas Aid Amid Growing Inequality

In 2024, private humanitarian organizations in Denmark report unprecedented demand for Christmas assistance, as rising poverty contrasts sharply with soaring wealth among the richest families. Over 20,000 families applied to the organisation Dansk Folkehjælp, an 18% increase since 2022, while the Salvation Army received over 19,000 applications—double the number from 2020. The organisations Blue Cross and Mothers' Aid also reported record-breaking demand, with over 25,000 families seeking help this year.

Rising food prices, up 22% since inflation peaked a few years ago, have left many unable to afford holiday essentials. Aid typically includes gift cards worth DKK 600–1,000 (USD 85-140), a modest lifeline for struggling families in the Nordic hermit kingdom that has one of these world's highest costs of living.

Meanwhile, Denmark’s 100 wealthiest families grew their collective fortunes by over DKK 100 billion (USD 14 bln.) in 2024, adding an average of DKK 2.7 million (USD 38,000) daily per family, underscoring the widening gap between the country’s richest and its most vulnerable during the holiday season.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 42 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Georgian Parliament Elects Pro-Russian Mijail Kavelashvili as President - Telesur English

Article

He replaces pro-European opposition leader Salome Zurabishvili, who refuses to vacate her position. On Saturday, the Central Election Commission announced that Mijail Kavelashvili, of the ruling Georgian Dream party, was elected president of the country during a parliamentary vote boycotted by the opposition.

Kavelashvili, who received the support of 224 out of 300 national and municipal deputies convened for the vote, replaces pro-European opposition leader Salome Zurabishvili. Zurabishvili refuses to vacate her position, claiming that the legislature resulting from the October parliamentary elections lacks legitimacy.

As the sole candidate in the election, Kavelashvili becomes the sixth president in the country’s history since its independence from the Soviet Union in 1991. A former ruling party deputy since 2016, he also had a distinguished soccer career, including playing for Manchester City. Born in 1971, Kavelashvili is the founder of The Strength of the People, a movement that promoted laws against foreign influence and sexual minorities, which were criticized by the opposition for their similarity to regulations enacted in Russia.

The opposition, which has been holding daily protests in Tbilisi since the government froze negotiations to join the European Union on Nov. 28, gathered early in the morning outside the Parliament building.

“Slaves” and “Russians” were some of the slogans chanted by activists, who consider it an “insult” that the new head of state lacks higher education. To prevent incidents, police have closed off nearby streets used by lawmakers to access the legislature and have deployed water cannon trucks in the area.

The authorities altered the presidential election mechanism for this vote. For the first time, the president was not chosen by universal suffrage but through a collegiate vote involving 150 parliamentary deputies and 150 municipal delegates. In addition to the parliamentary deputies—89 of whom belong to Georgian Dream—the electorate included 21 deputies from the Parliament of the Autonomous Region of Adjara, 20 representatives from the Supreme Council of Abkhazia in exile, and 109 municipal delegates.

Last night, Zurabishvili, president since 2018, reiterated that she would not relinquish the presidency. She called the election a “constitutional farce” and urged continued protests. According to the opposition leader, who deems Georgian Dream’s victory in the October legislative elections fraudulent, the country currently lacks a legitimate Parliament, and “an illegitimate Parliament cannot elect a new president.”

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[–] sexywheat@hexbear.net 42 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Yo I read in this thread in the last 1-2 days that the new Syrian government banned women from being judges, but now I can't find that comment. Did that end up being fake (like a lot of the shit coming out of Syria right now)?

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 42 points 9 months ago

Ecuador Announces 15-Day Industrial Power Outage Despite Earlier Promises - Telesur English

Article

Despite recent government announcements declaring an end to nationwide power cuts, the Ecuadorian government has announced a new 15-day industrial power outage, scheduled from December 15th to 30th. The move is expected to significantly impact seven major industries and cause substantial economic losses.

Energy and Mines Minister Inés Manzano confirmed the outage, specifying that it will affect four companies in the high-voltage group AV4 – two mining companies and two steel mills directly connected to transmission lines – along with three cement companies in the AV1 group. Other industries will continue to experience the rotating power cuts they have already faced. Minister Manzano stated that these affected companies represent approximately 5% of the national energy demand.

Francisco Jarrín, president of the Guayaquil Chamber of Industries, emphasized the broader impact of the outage, stating that “the effect is felt throughout the entire production chain that receives or demands products from these companies; they are not isolated. It should not be seen as an impact only on a few companies.”

The impact on employment and the economy is significant. María Paz Jervis, president of the Ecuadorian Business Committee, estimates that 5,500 workers will be affected by the complete shutdown of AV1 and AV2 industrial groups. She projected potential economic losses of around $100 million.

This announcement comes after the industrial sector already experienced a 3% decline due to previous power cuts. The conflicting messaging from the government regarding power stability has raised serious concerns among industrial leaders and the wider business community. The timing of the outage, just before the end of the year, further exacerbates the negative economic consequences.

Meanwhile Nepobaby failson how literally uses slave labor, Daniel Noboa, is partying in some Yacht with his wife.

[–] Biddles@hexbear.net 41 points 10 months ago (1 children)
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