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Russian pilot who defected found dead in Spain, says Ukraine security agency
(www.theguardian.com)
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this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2024
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Except it is an unreasonable fear.
Putin has a dysfunctional nuclear arsenal. His ancient systems have been maintained by notorious black market scalpers for the last 50 years. Fuel, electronic components, chassis components, nav and guidance system components, sensors and other parts are valuable. It is extremely unlikely that even a single delivery system would survive launch and make it to its destination, even if the advanced global defense systems in place completely ignored it.
If he detonated a tactical nuke instead (because his international delivery systems would fail), he would not be able to cause enough destruction to punish the EU for fighting him. He simply does not have the physical leverage EU citizens give him credit for. All he has is sabre-rattling and overt threats.
He has been bluffing for decades now. If no one ever calls his bluff, he will win. He is coming for the EU. Will the EU let him have what he wants, or will they call his bluff?
Let's say that's true and only a few USSR era nukes are maybe working, there's no refinery happening, and China and North Korea are only willing to give them 3 nukes each for a total of 8 ICMBs (surprise, 2 were newly refined and functioning perfectly). Now they have 8 ICBMs with nuclear payloads and the backing of China, Iran, and North Korean nuclear satellite capabilities.
Which major city or strategic military post would you prefer they hit with the one that gets past defenses?
Which one does it take to start WWIII?