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this post was submitted on 25 Oct 2023
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I get a little hate for saying so, but I really think Russia's nuclear saber rattling is always so intense because they've never nuked anyone. Nobody believes them.
We nuked Nagasaki for no strategic or tactical reason. It was essentially a "twice for flinching" situation. Not to mention the last president wanted to nuke some bad weather. What a prick.
We Americans have a shitload of problems, but we don't need to threaten nuking anyone. You know we want to. So the Russians have to work hard to catch up in terms of the Madman Theory.
I have a different theory. Russia’s nuclear saber rattling exists because it is basically all they have to feel powerful. Their economy is a joke, they have no real cultural influence in the wider world.
It is like Nth Korea, they both threaten to launch the nukes to feel powerful while no one in the wider world really gives a shit.
Yes, the US launched nukes in WW2 but the big difference is that no one else had them at the time.
Now that half a dozen nations do, all you can do with them is threaten because the implication is that any launch of nukes will be answered with a counter launch. Russia cannot use them as they will be wiped out if they do.
You're right that the game is different now. Where I differ is that I try not to think of nations as having feelings. Nations have interests, not feelings.
What about nations where the last word in decisions is taken by a single person (a.k.a. dictator)? He certainly has feelings and interests