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Lemmy is slowly dying while Reddit is thriving
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this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2023
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Showerthoughts
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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. The best ones are thoughts that many people can relate to and they find something funny or interesting in regular stuff.
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Not really I think. Lemmy losing users in a slow manner may be true (probably is, if https://lemmy.fediverse.observer/dailystats is a representative site) but Reddit thriving, I'm not so sure. I'm only seeing that Reddit is in stagnation currently and I don't mean this in a negative way, it just didn't get new followers. If someone is more active on Reddit, please educate me about your experiences, because I'm only visiting just 1 subreddit basically for some minutes and that's all.
I think you see a clearer picture if you zoom out to before the spike in June: https://lemmy.fediverse.observer/dailystats&days=150 .
It’s a typical pattern for growing sites: there are sporadic spikes in new users, followed by a leveling-off where about half the new users are retained. So the trend over the past month isn’t a long-term decline, it's the tail end of the leveling-off phase.
[Edit: the above link doesn't work unless you manually remove the “
amp;” to yield “https://lemmy.fediverse.observer/dailystats&days=150”.]That's absolutely true, actually, I think/hope in the same way as you do too.
Lemmy is bleeding users, but post and comment count is still growing. I think the multi account migrations have settled down and people are getting used to the new UI.
If you're basing that off solely on the fediverse observer, that may be false. The "Average comments by day" graph is pretty misleading, since it actually shows all the comments that was made on Lemmy on each day. How do you perceive the density of the comments in practice?
I'm sorry, I don't follow. Don't
all the comments made that dayshow an increase?I think it's great compared to what it used to be and just under what I'd like it to be. It's very subjective, but I think that was the question.
That's correct and that is why it's misleading. The numbers are way too high to assume it refers to the daily comments only.
Yeah it's pretty good, although I would like a bit more convo on nicher posts, but it's already amazing how active the Lemmy community is compared to it's userbase size.
Fair enough, I see your point now. I wonder if that's a flaw in the observer, bots or stat manipulation.
That site doesn’t seem to show Lemmy losing users.
Check onto "Average Lemmy Active Users by Day" and observe the monthly active users. It's really subtle, but it's a loss.