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Reason number 86,384,028 why dems need to take the senate this year. Rs would support this, even if nobody likes Cruz, because they’d be terrified of what MAGAts would do to them if they voted against the president’s nominee.
You are correct on this, but in the last year or so, trump has been less and less successful with getting Rs to "close ranks" like they would usually do. I doubt that would be enough to prevent a SCOTUS nomination though, they'll definitely all vote to confirm, and probably some Ds as well.
I think that's only because they know he's unpopular and midterms are coming up. Once they are over I think we'll see them go back to total fealty.
If the midterms ends up the way they're expected to, Trump will be a major lame duck. They'll have basically no reason to bend the knee anymore. Trump appointees have never done well when he isn't on the ballot and he can no longer be on the ballot.
I hope you're right
The problem is that would mean they're doing the rational thing and nothing about MAGA is rational. So who knows what they'll do.
Assuming Fetterman is still a D. I can't imagine any others voting to confirm. I mean, it's fucking Ted Cruz.
There will always be enough defectors to pass a SCOTUS vote.