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Simon Pegg on the Cornell Rapists (sh.itjust.works)

submitted 5 days ago by velma@sh.itjust.works to c/fauxmoi@sh.itjust.works

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[–] ThirdConsul@lemmy.zip 7 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Lets check the math here.

Most men don’t personally know a man who was a perpetrator

According to the USA's statistics (I will use it here because it is quite high), it is about 5 rapists per 100 000 people.

A lot of offenders are multiple offenders. Comparing that to the reported rape occurrences and the actual estimations, assuming average lifespan of 75, if a man is 30 he needs to personally know ~60 men his age to statistically know a rapist, and about 28 men his age if he is 60.

I do not think therefore your sentence is true. I do believe that most men personally know a rapist, but hopefully they don't know about it.

Most women personally know another woman who was a victim

According to the USA's statistics (I will use it here because it is quite high), it is 37.5 per 100 000 people.

This is yearly data. Estimates are that in the USA only 1 in 4 performed rapes is reported. Assuming an average life of 80 years, and (from USA statistics that about 80% of victims are younger than 30), a 30 years old woman needs to know 6 women to statistically know a rape victim. And among 70 years old, just 5.