this post was submitted on 02 Aug 2026
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here's some nerd who calculates that GenAI gives a senior dev a 15% productivity increase, and a junior 25%
https://bjorg.bjornroche.com/management/ai-productivity-gap/
HN correctly calls his numbers bullshit, especially because the time spend reviewing code is unchanged between pre- and post-AI:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49152222
Even if his numbers are correct, it essentially means that software companies are around 10% faster in delivering something, however that something might be even more bug-ridden and slow than before.
Even then that's extremely charitably assuming that this hypothetical productivity gain is put to good use, with ai-pilled management that's just adding bloat 10% faster with a side of mindless tech debt