Even after an initial ceasefire was announced in April, Iran has demonstrated that it remains willing to resume its use of military force, an aggressive stance that has helped it extract key economic concessions from the United States and allowed the regime to craft a narrative at home that it prevailed in the war.
meanwhile wapo is desperately trying to craft the narrative that the US didn't lose catastrophically
YOU FUCKS BOMBED AN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AND ASSASSINATED THEIR LEADER. Iran is somehow being aggressive while the US set up military bases for decades, yet somehow that's not seen an encroachment.
Also such massive concessions like:
Stop surrounding our country with military bases.
Promise to not attack us again.
Recognize that a waterway just off our coast should be managed by us and the nation on other side of the straight.
Stop implementing illegal sanctions.
Let us dictate our own energy policy.
Give us access to our own money, that you stole.
Such unreasonable demands that they ask for. Literally just asking the US to recognize Iran's sovereignty is considered a massive "concession" rather than how things should be according to international law.
Personally I think the US will try to intervene in the Sahel some time within the next two years. They've been setting up a millitary presence on Nigeria, and the AES threatens to lead by good example if left untouched.
Personally, I think the next socialist revolution or emergence of a socialist state will happen somewhere in Africa. My top guesses are eitheir from the Sahel or a country from East Africa, perhaps Kenya.
However I think this war has been a massive blow to the empire. Just not the one that ends its military interventions against soverign states. I think they'll attempt one more.
Personally I think the US will try to intervene in the Sahel some time within the next two years. They’ve been setting up a millitary presence on Nigeria, and the AES threatens to lead by good example if left untouched.
I've been worried about the Sahel, and keeping an eye on it the best I can. I know Traoré has been respectful and firmly rejecting US "requests" for deals, rightly so, and that it's angered the US. I'm aware of mercenary forces' and comprador states increased activity, but not recent developments. Can you bring me up to date or point me toward reliable news sources?
Also Kenya? Apparently I've missed a lot. Please tell!
However I think this war has been a massive blow to the empire. Just not the one that ends its military interventions against soverign states. I think they’ll attempt one more.
Heaven forbid, but I can't discount your assessment.
My view of the Sahel main comes from trends pointed out by David Hundeyin, a pan-african journalist exiled from Nigeria due to his exposing of Nigeria's plan to intervene in Niger after the 2023 coup. He works on a channel called African Spearhead which tends to be a good way to keep up to date with regional politics of West Africa, and the continent.
My comment on Kenya was more thrown out there because of the continued rise of the Communist Party Marxist Kenya (CPM-K). Their leader, Booker N. Omelet, was arrested on false charges recently very obviously because he's been organizing against William Ruto's, the current president, neoliberal and pro-West stance. I don't think a revolution will happen soon, but I see the ground work for one being set up, and it's farther along then many other places around it.
I still think the Sahel states are the most likely to transition into a socialist project, probably within the next ten years.
My comment on Kenya was more thrown out there because of the continued rise of the Communist Party Marxist Kenya (CPM-K). Their leader, Booker N. Omelet, was arrested on false charges recently very obviously because he’s been organizing against William Ruto’s, the current president, neoliberal and pro-West stance. I don’t think a revolution will happen soon, but I see the ground work for one being set up, and it’s farther along then many other places around it.
That's what I get for writing off Kenya as too deep in Western pockets. Thanks so much for this ray of hope!
Excellent, thank you. I think I actually watched a video or two from there and forgot it. At any rate, my search algorithm showed me cultural and archeological results.
What makes you say Kenya is a lost caused? The CPM-K has been rising pretty quickly if I'm not mistaken, and the current president's behavior has sparked quite a bit of discontent. I don't think it's as likely as the Sahel, but the infrastructure for a revolution looks farther along then most other places to me.
The people have the fire for revolting against their own government, not against western ideologies. How can they become a true socialist state if they look towards Washington, London, or Paris for guidance?
Ukraine has been aiding the terrorist effort since 2015. My hatred of that nation is at the same level as my hate towards the US Military Industrial Complex.
meanwhile wapo is desperately trying to craft the narrative that the US didn't lose catastrophically
YOU FUCKS BOMBED AN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AND ASSASSINATED THEIR LEADER. Iran is somehow being aggressive while the US set up military bases for decades, yet somehow that's not seen an encroachment.
Also such massive concessions like:
Stop surrounding our country with military bases.
Promise to not attack us again.
Recognize that a waterway just off our coast should be managed by us and the nation on other side of the straight.
Stop implementing illegal sanctions.
Let us dictate our own energy policy.
Give us access to our own money, that you stole.
Such unreasonable demands that they ask for. Literally just asking the US to recognize Iran's sovereignty is considered a massive "concession" rather than how things should be according to international law.
"why do the people we bombed hate US so much?? we just want their economy/resources to benefit us!!" -every US rag.
Iran isn't the first, but may well be the last sovereign state US picks a fight with.
Eta: part of me wonders if this wasn't something USA wanted, so they can ramp up aggression.
Personally I think the US will try to intervene in the Sahel some time within the next two years. They've been setting up a millitary presence on Nigeria, and the AES threatens to lead by good example if left untouched.
Personally, I think the next socialist revolution or emergence of a socialist state will happen somewhere in Africa. My top guesses are eitheir from the Sahel or a country from East Africa, perhaps Kenya.
However I think this war has been a massive blow to the empire. Just not the one that ends its military interventions against soverign states. I think they'll attempt one more.
I've been worried about the Sahel, and keeping an eye on it the best I can. I know Traoré has been respectful and firmly rejecting US "requests" for deals, rightly so, and that it's angered the US. I'm aware of mercenary forces' and comprador states increased activity, but not recent developments. Can you bring me up to date or point me toward reliable news sources?
Also Kenya? Apparently I've missed a lot. Please tell!
Heaven forbid, but I can't discount your assessment.
My view of the Sahel main comes from trends pointed out by David Hundeyin, a pan-african journalist exiled from Nigeria due to his exposing of Nigeria's plan to intervene in Niger after the 2023 coup. He works on a channel called African Spearhead which tends to be a good way to keep up to date with regional politics of West Africa, and the continent.
My comment on Kenya was more thrown out there because of the continued rise of the Communist Party Marxist Kenya (CPM-K). Their leader, Booker N. Omelet, was arrested on false charges recently very obviously because he's been organizing against William Ruto's, the current president, neoliberal and pro-West stance. I don't think a revolution will happen soon, but I see the ground work for one being set up, and it's farther along then many other places around it.
I still think the Sahel states are the most likely to transition into a socialist project, probably within the next ten years.
That's what I get for writing off Kenya as too deep in Western pockets. Thanks so much for this ray of hope!
Didn't find African Spear, but I found https://www.youtube.com/@hundeyin
They're on a decent start; inshallah, next couple of years will see massive organization.
Here is the Spearhead channel I was looking for https://youtube.com/@african_spearhead
Excellent, thank you. I think I actually watched a video or two from there and forgot it. At any rate, my search algorithm showed me cultural and archeological results.
Kenya is a lost cause. The Sahel--if not suppressed by ECOWAS and Nigeria, may become true socialist states.
But like you said
The US has been increasing their military presence in W.Africa, and their most used tools (terrorists) are getting louder and braver as the days pass.
What makes you say Kenya is a lost caused? The CPM-K has been rising pretty quickly if I'm not mistaken, and the current president's behavior has sparked quite a bit of discontent. I don't think it's as likely as the Sahel, but the infrastructure for a revolution looks farther along then most other places to me.
At the very least, it may cool anticom activity for a moment.
The people have the fire for revolting against their own government, not against western ideologies. How can they become a true socialist state if they look towards Washington, London, or Paris for guidance?
Don't forget France's interests in all of that.
The French are at the helm. They, the US, and the Nigerian government are working together.
And let's no forget the Ukrainian presence in Africa
Ukraine has been aiding the terrorist effort since 2015. My hatred of that nation is at the same level as my hate towards the US Military Industrial Complex.
They basically got kicked out, even Gabon & Madagascar were usurped by the US. At best they get tossed some of the rinds.
Agreed. I don't think the US has lost the ability to project power in Latin America for example. It's still their home turf.
Yes they have been setting up shop in Benin as well. They also tried to reapproach Niger. Also why we suddenly hear from Mali a lot.