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‘Worse than Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan Combined’: Donald Trump Faces a Political Crisis Like No Other if Hormuz Isn’t Opened by Labor Day (nationalsecurityjournal.org)

submitted 1 week ago by yogthos@lemmy.ml to c/usa@lemmy.ml

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[–] besbin@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

The article is quite insightful, however I would love to have more meat on the analysis on what's the exact time frame we have for the negotiation here. Oil supply logistic can't be switch on and off completely overnight, so that actual deadline for negotiation can be like weeks, months or days away depend on reserves, transportation and production ramp up etc.

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 3 points 1 week ago

From what I've read, there's no way to restore shipments in the foreseeable future even if the war ended tomorrow. Just clearing the backlog of current tankers is going to take a whole year. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/23/dow-ceo-says-clearing-the-strait-of-hormuz-logjam-will-take-almost-a-year.html