this post was submitted on 26 May 2026
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/remindme 3 years
They will most likely catch up like they are doing for electric for electric cars now.
For the Hardware, yes.
But hardware is less than half the battle. Intel found this out the hard way. 3 times.
I would think software is even easier to catch up because you don't need as much physical investment and experimenting is way cheaper, especially with LLM helping to learn now. I think DeepSeek is an example.
Innovation is difficult, but simply catching up with all the public research and open source solutions, not as much.
oh god we will have vibecoded gpu drivers
Literally Google IO this year.
They showed off an OS they allegedly vibecoded with antigravity, tried to get it to run Doom, failed due to missing graphics drivers, then vibecoded the missing drivers live.
I was equal parts appalled and impressed.