this post was submitted on 23 May 2026
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It is hard to see how we would further increase the military spending without risking civil unrest but maybe I am mistaken. I would like the people to stir up some shit but I don't like the idea of even more weapons.
To increase military spending without causing unrest requires something to rally around, and Trump taking over Greenland would be exactly that thing to rally around. Even though the us already controls Greenland defacto, it doesn't matter. The nationalism can be generated either way.
Only way for Europe to back down from further military spending is to first back down from foreign military adventures, then make a detente with Russia. Even then Europe will still need some manufacturing and military spending and energy spending to simply be able to hold against the US and avoid vassalisation. That's the only realistic good ending.
At the same time I don't see Europe ready to repair relations with Russia unless the US hurts them directly. Wild times and not easy to have hope for Europe to do good.
Well one thing you must understand about Europe is that their ruling class only cares about profit and the ruled class is very subservient to whatever the ruling class tells them. In the event that the European ruling class's investments in America get fucked, there is a possibility of Russia opening investments for Europeans, which will immediately cause the European policy to revert.
Of course that would be a reversal of a decades long relationship of capital between the US and Europe, however, these are exactly the times where such decades long trends are being broken. Not to mention, as the US declines and a crisis of overproduction builds (AI), it is only a matter of time for investments in the US to be tanked.
The real factor is whether or not the Russians are willing to play ball and treat the euros with kiddie gloves. I'm sure they'll extract some juicy concessions if they are. But fear not, the euros are experienced with servicing greater powers.
Yeah I sometimes forget that it is about European capital being invested heavily in the US. Let us hope for burned investments soonish and for lenient Russians.