For serious discussion - like your thoughts beyond simple "Russians go home" platitudes. What even is a russian theory of victory at this point?
First off - this STILL seems to be a war where their only goal is conquest and capitulation of the Ukrainian government to a Russian puppet one. But - how do they intend realize that?
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Terroristic bombings against civilian targets from standoff distance has never, ever been successful at defeating an industrial society. It's way, way way too expensive to maintain and doesn't hold ground.
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Russia's mechanized forces in mass have largely been wiped out and is cost-ineffective compared to Ukraine's ability to stop them with drones.
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Russia's infantry tactics is literally sending in small infiltration teams into forward areas, where they are eventually either droned, sniped, mined, shelled or outright counter attacked and killed.
Ukraine seems capable of increasingly automating their defense AND assualt forces to be less manpower intensive, and able to trade a little bit of land temporarily until they can kill the infiltration teams that bum rush positions in cars, motorbikes or on foot. The latter is NOT a serious or effective strategy for occupying and pacifying conquered land.
In the big picture - Russia seems to just be prolonging the slaughter and hoping to be given something in return to make it stop. But - that doesn't seem likely to work. No serious minded thinkers expect Russia to honor any agreement, so why WOULDN'T Ukraine logically look at the stiatuion and conclude that the ONLY way to stop future russian aggression is to bleed out their army until there is fundamental change in Russian political leadership.
How does Russia 'win' this war? It's hard to see. Things feel very endgame, but also stagnant since life of their soldiers means absolutely nothing to the Kremlin, when they probably know the alternative is that stopping the war leads quickly and directly to total domestic collapse.
Your thoughts please.
Not a bad theory, but Trump will likely be politcally neutered in the mid-terms, or his hand will be forced where he tries to cancel elections, and the U.S. descends into total chaos. Probably, the octogenarian dictator and his band of lickspittles aren't competent enough to get their way, and a more democratic consensus comes out of the U.S.
But - let's say it doesn't, and the U.S. continues to be run by Krasnov, unchecked. The Ukrainian War, for Europeans, isn't some abstract side act to domestic partisan games like it is in the U.S. It is a clear and present threat where Russia fully intends to colonize or make puppet states out of Europe if it can find any way to do so.
You could argue that there's been a galvanizing effect in Europe to the second Trump presidency - including in France and Germany - his nutso grift has helped more democratic forces there than his far right Kremlin franchisees. France, Germany, Britain, even Italy's erstwhile-right leaning leadership openly messages against Trump, and doesn't kiss his ass. It's hard to argue that far right populism has benefitted from a Trump's insane carnival show - in fact maybe the opposite. As in - there is still a relevant bloc of euros who live in a world of common sense and might be more energized to defend their democracy from russian corrosion with a Trump presidency more than without it.
TL:DR - Trump might not be helping getting fascists elected in Germany and France. If this is their plan - it doesn't seem to be a good one.
magyar winning in hungary seriously hurt his influence in europe, and apparently some US outlets, as they were funding CPAC, and BEN shapiros dailywire apparently.
Call me a bit wary - the Russians didn't seem quite furious enough about losing their obvious stooge agent vessel that they use to screw up NATO & the EU. That made me think they might just have been better at hiding their influence on Magyar, presenting it like a win for the west but really just slow playing things. They're down to having ONLY Fico as an obvious spoiler, and he has been less obstructionist than Orban was so far.
I think trump will be out before midterms. “Under new management” will get republican votes. But I’m often wrong.
Internationally, I don’t think it matters unless the policies are totally rolled back.
thats why gop are doubling down on election interference, gerrymandering and voter suppression, ever since the voting rights act was neutered.
You think the vulgar talking yam will be out within the next 6 months? That's optimism up the ying yang.
Trump's dictatorship's guaranteed, at this point:
his "ballroom" datacenter+bunker is the 1 place he couldn't be extracted-from by the Democrats, right?
There isn't going to be any election of any Democrats-majority, ever again.
SCOTUS garrotted the "democracy" of the US, already.
I know that nobody's saying dictatorship's going to happen: everybody is saying he's guaranteed to be gone, shortly, & they're already celebrating..
but this isn't just the individual-lives that are driving this, this is humankind's collective-unconscious-mind, and that changes the rules, fundamentally, same as it did with making Rasputin nearly-unkillable.
Humankind's collective-unconscious won't tolerate its ego-drama of "apocalypse" to be shortchanged/derailed/removed.
& when one is dealing-with either a drunk, or a fanatic, exactly as Churchill said, don't bother arguing.
Humankind's unconscious fanaticism won't be dented by a little circumstance: it'll ENFORCE its WW3 tantrum/pogrom, throughout the rest of this century, no matter what.
Only the details are alterable, now..
Deem me to be defective/incompetent, as all do, but I've been warning people about the DIRE threat that Trump is, for over a decade, now..
BAD stuff is happening.
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Down voted but there is truth in it. A bit Girardian. The collective consciousness is moving towards authoritarianism because they've forgotten its horros.