this post was submitted on 20 Apr 2026
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This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).

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[–] ChristchurchAsshole@lemmy.ml 22 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

The New Zealand media had some detailed reports the other day, regarding the oil supply situation. I believe there will have to be an escalation or a conclusion to the war soon, because the trucking companies are panicking and airlines will eventually have to cut flights. Once it begins to impact the ability to do normal business then even business people will get angry. People take it for granted that they can order things on Amazon and have them shipped thousands of kilometres, but this isn't guaranteed any longer if prices for food, groceries and shipping increase.

The conclusion of the war will be driven by the severity of the economic situation and I believe that something must change within 1-2 months (else daily life becomes intolerable). Trump has so far managed to manipulate the oil price and make millions for his friends with insider trading, but when supply shock happens it will be harder to get that under control. When the tankers stop coming, there will be an urgent need for a conclusion to the war. Recent articles in New Zealand specifically mention supply shock as a severe situation which would require fuel and diesel rationing. It'll be worse than price increases and it will require government intervention.

Excuse my other post which was poorly worded, poorly thought-out crap. It's really hard to imagine what will happen. The best scenario is that the majority of the people in Western countries oppose Trump and the world turns against America. It's unlikely but I try to make it happen with memes, propaganda, protests and emails to Parliament.

This week I sent an email to New Zealand's Prime Minister and the staff member, surprisingly, replied to my email which suggests that this email will end up on the PM's desk. So always write a numbered list with a maximum of only 2 points. Government officials love this because it makes their job easy.

The email:

spoilerDear Prime Minister,

I believe in two principles regarding the Iran war:

  1. Iran has the right to build a nuclear weapon, and it's essential that they build one as quickly as possible (self-defence).

  2. Iran has the right to charge tolls on the Strait Of Hormuz as a form of compensation for Trump's war.

Any other opinion on this matter is worthless and won't lead anywhere. Trump started this unprovoked war and he must end it immediately.

Regards, ChristchurchAsshole

(the claim that trump must end the war is obviously unrealistic but that is my political position and I'm not budging on any of my principles)

The subject line of my email was "Iran's right to build nuclear missiles"