this post was submitted on 21 Apr 2026
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Oh boy is this another one of those "a scientist has an opinion about something outside their field as if they were any more qualified on the subject than a rando off the street" articles
Not even a real scientist. Dude is into string theory
Doctors from the "Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War" are absolutely more qualified to report on the risks of nuclear war than a randomly picked person off the street.
He was clear that his estimation is "crude" and "not rigorous"; nuclear holocaust is uncharted territory and noone could truly be considered an expert. I think the average person wildly underestimates how close we are to mutually assured destruction. There's a natural human tendency towards optimism bias, but it's probably more likely we kill ourselves off as a species (ie "great filter" solution to the fermi paradox).
In my defense, there was no non-paywalled version of the article posted when I made my comment